INTERCONTINENTAL EXCHANGE INC Market Value

45866FAN4   75.79  3.92  4.92%   
45866FAN4's market value is the price at which a share of 45866FAN4 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of INTERCONTINENTAL EXCHANGE INC investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of INTERCONTINENTAL EXCHANGE INC and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 45866FAN4 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 45866FAN4 Correlation, 45866FAN4 Volatility and 45866FAN4 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 45866FAN4.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 45866FAN4's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 45866FAN4 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 45866FAN4's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

45866FAN4 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 45866FAN4's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 45866FAN4.
0.00
10/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 45866FAN4 on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding INTERCONTINENTAL EXCHANGE INC or generate 0.0% return on investment in 45866FAN4 over 30 days. 45866FAN4 is related to or competes with Kite Realty, Ryman Hospitality, Cheesecake Factory, Asbury Automotive, Getty Realty, and Pool. More

45866FAN4 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 45866FAN4's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess INTERCONTINENTAL EXCHANGE INC upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

45866FAN4 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 45866FAN4's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 45866FAN4's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 45866FAN4 historical prices to predict the future 45866FAN4's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
75.0675.7976.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
68.2176.8077.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
74.7875.5176.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
73.9778.5183.05
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 45866FAN4. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 45866FAN4's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 45866FAN4's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in INTERCONTINENTAL EXC.

INTERCONTINENTAL EXC Backtested Returns

INTERCONTINENTAL EXC secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.17, which signifies that the bond had a -0.17% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. INTERCONTINENTAL EXCHANGE INC exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 45866FAN4's Variance of 0.537, mean deviation of 0.3809, and Coefficient Of Variation of (580.12) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.13, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 45866FAN4 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 45866FAN4 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.42  

Average predictability

INTERCONTINENTAL EXCHANGE INC has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 45866FAN4 time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of INTERCONTINENTAL EXC price movement. The serial correlation of 0.42 indicates that just about 42.0% of current 45866FAN4 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.42
Spearman Rank Test0.26
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.82

INTERCONTINENTAL EXC lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 45866FAN4 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 45866FAN4's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 45866FAN4 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 45866FAN4 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

45866FAN4 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 45866FAN4 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 45866FAN4 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 45866FAN4 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

45866FAN4 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 45866FAN4's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 45866FAN4 bond have on its future price. 45866FAN4 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 45866FAN4 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 45866FAN4 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in INTERCONTINENTAL EXCHANGE INC.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 45866FAN4 Bond

45866FAN4 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 45866FAN4 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 45866FAN4 with respect to the benefits of owning 45866FAN4 security.