ITC HLDGS P Market Value

465685AK1   95.44  2.09  2.14%   
465685AK1's market value is the price at which a share of 465685AK1 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of ITC HLDGS P investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of ITC HLDGS P and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 465685AK1 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 465685AK1 Correlation, 465685AK1 Volatility and 465685AK1 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 465685AK1.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 465685AK1's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 465685AK1 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 465685AK1's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

465685AK1 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 465685AK1's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 465685AK1.
0.00
10/24/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 465685AK1 on October 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ITC HLDGS P or generate 0.0% return on investment in 465685AK1 over 30 days. 465685AK1 is related to or competes with Meliá Hotels, Shake Shack, Dave Busters, Wendys, Kura Sushi, Sweetgreen, and Dalata Hotel. More

465685AK1 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 465685AK1's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ITC HLDGS P upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

465685AK1 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 465685AK1's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 465685AK1's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 465685AK1 historical prices to predict the future 465685AK1's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
95.0495.4495.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
95.3795.7796.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
93.8894.2894.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
93.7894.7695.74
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 465685AK1. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 465685AK1's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 465685AK1's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ITC HLDGS P.

ITC HLDGS P Backtested Returns

ITC HLDGS P retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.19, which signifies that the bond had a -0.19% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 465685AK1 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 465685AK1's Information Ratio of (0.29), market risk adjusted performance of (0.70), and Coefficient Of Variation of (2,047) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.0514, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 465685AK1's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 465685AK1 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.55  

Modest predictability

ITC HLDGS P has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 465685AK1 time series from 24th of October 2024 to 8th of November 2024 and 8th of November 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ITC HLDGS P price movement. The serial correlation of 0.55 indicates that about 55.0% of current 465685AK1 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.55
Spearman Rank Test0.26
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.49

ITC HLDGS P lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 465685AK1 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 465685AK1's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 465685AK1 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 465685AK1 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

465685AK1 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 465685AK1 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 465685AK1 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 465685AK1 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

465685AK1 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 465685AK1's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 465685AK1 bond have on its future price. 465685AK1 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 465685AK1 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 465685AK1 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in ITC HLDGS P.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 465685AK1 Bond

465685AK1 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 465685AK1 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 465685AK1 with respect to the benefits of owning 465685AK1 security.