JPM 5717 14 SEP 33 Market Value

46647PDK9   91.66  10.96  10.68%   
46647PDK9's market value is the price at which a share of 46647PDK9 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of JPM 5717 14 SEP 33 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of JPM 5717 14 SEP 33 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 46647PDK9 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 46647PDK9 Correlation, 46647PDK9 Volatility and 46647PDK9 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 46647PDK9.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 46647PDK9's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 46647PDK9 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 46647PDK9's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

46647PDK9 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 46647PDK9's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 46647PDK9.
0.00
01/06/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 10 months and 22 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 46647PDK9 on January 6, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding JPM 5717 14 SEP 33 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 46647PDK9 over 690 days. 46647PDK9 is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, 3M, Alcoa Corp, ATT, Johnson Johnson, and Intel. More

46647PDK9 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 46647PDK9's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess JPM 5717 14 SEP 33 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

46647PDK9 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 46647PDK9's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 46647PDK9's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 46647PDK9 historical prices to predict the future 46647PDK9's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
90.2391.6693.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
78.8280.25100.83
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 46647PDK9. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 46647PDK9's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 46647PDK9's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in JPM 5717 14.

JPM 5717 14 Backtested Returns

JPM 5717 14 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.16, which signifies that the bond had a -0.16% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. JPM 5717 14 SEP 33 exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 46647PDK9's Mean Deviation of 0.8041, information ratio of (0.16), and Coefficient Of Variation of (1,074) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.22, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 46647PDK9 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 46647PDK9 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.65  

Very good reverse predictability

JPM 5717 14 SEP 33 has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 46647PDK9 time series from 6th of January 2023 to 17th of December 2023 and 17th of December 2023 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of JPM 5717 14 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.65 indicates that roughly 65.0% of current 46647PDK9 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.65
Spearman Rank Test-0.31
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.25

JPM 5717 14 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 46647PDK9 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 46647PDK9's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 46647PDK9 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 46647PDK9 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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46647PDK9 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 46647PDK9 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 46647PDK9 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 46647PDK9 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

46647PDK9 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 46647PDK9's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 46647PDK9 bond have on its future price. 46647PDK9 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 46647PDK9 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 46647PDK9 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in JPM 5717 14 SEP 33.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 46647PDK9 Bond

46647PDK9 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 46647PDK9 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 46647PDK9 with respect to the benefits of owning 46647PDK9 security.