JP Morgan Chase Market Value
| 48126BAA1 | 102.04 0.85 0.83% |
| Symbol | 48126BAA1 |
48126BAA1 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 48126BAA1's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 48126BAA1.
| 10/31/2024 |
| 11/30/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in 48126BAA1 on October 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding JP Morgan Chase or generate 0.0% return on investment in 48126BAA1 over 30 days. 48126BAA1 is related to or competes with Iridium Communications, National CineMedia, Jeld Wen, Avient Corp, Weibo Corp, and Stepan. More
48126BAA1 Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 48126BAA1's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess JP Morgan Chase upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.15) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.05 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.92) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.73 |
48126BAA1 Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 48126BAA1's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 48126BAA1's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 48126BAA1 historical prices to predict the future 48126BAA1's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.03) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.06) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.28) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.27 |
JP Morgan Chase Backtested Returns
JP Morgan Chase retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0622, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0622% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 48126BAA1 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 48126BAA1's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 1.28, coefficient of variation of (2,316), and Information Ratio of (0.15) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.0521, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 48126BAA1 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 48126BAA1 is likely to outperform the market.
Auto-correlation | -0.15 |
Insignificant reverse predictability
JP Morgan Chase has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 48126BAA1 time series from 31st of October 2024 to 15th of November 2024 and 15th of November 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of JP Morgan Chase price movement. The serial correlation of -0.15 indicates that less than 15.0% of current 48126BAA1 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.15 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.17 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.03 |
JP Morgan Chase lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is 48126BAA1 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 48126BAA1's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 48126BAA1 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 48126BAA1 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
48126BAA1 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 48126BAA1 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 48126BAA1 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 48126BAA1 bond over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
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48126BAA1 Lagged Returns
When evaluating 48126BAA1's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 48126BAA1 bond have on its future price. 48126BAA1 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 48126BAA1 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 48126BAA1 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in JP Morgan Chase.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in 48126BAA1 Bond
48126BAA1 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 48126BAA1 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 48126BAA1 with respect to the benefits of owning 48126BAA1 security.