JPM 4 Market Value

48128BAH4   100.15  0.07  0.07%   
48128BAH4's market value is the price at which a share of 48128BAH4 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of JPM 4 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of JPM 4 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 48128BAH4 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 48128BAH4 Correlation, 48128BAH4 Volatility and 48128BAH4 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 48128BAH4.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 48128BAH4's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 48128BAH4 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 48128BAH4's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

48128BAH4 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 48128BAH4's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 48128BAH4.
0.00
01/08/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
02/07/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 48128BAH4 on January 8, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding JPM 4 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 48128BAH4 over 30 days. 48128BAH4 is related to or competes with Highway Holdings, Lindblad Expeditions, Emerson Electric, Cementos Pacasmayo, Axcelis Technologies, Topbuild Corp, and Yuexiu Transport. More

48128BAH4 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 48128BAH4's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess JPM 4 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

48128BAH4 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 48128BAH4's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 48128BAH4's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 48128BAH4 historical prices to predict the future 48128BAH4's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
99.73100.15100.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
86.2486.66110.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
99.86100.28100.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
99.1299.71100.30
Details

48128BAH4 Backtested Returns

At this point, 48128BAH4 is very steady. 48128BAH4 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0329, which signifies that the bond had a 0.0329 % return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for JPM 4, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm 48128BAH4's Standard Deviation of 0.4187, semi deviation of 0.4487, and Mean Deviation of 0.2876 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0138%. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.1, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 48128BAH4 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 48128BAH4 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.50  

Modest predictability

JPM 4 has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 48128BAH4 time series from 8th of January 2025 to 23rd of January 2025 and 23rd of January 2025 to 7th of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of 48128BAH4 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.5 indicates that about 50.0% of current 48128BAH4 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.5
Spearman Rank Test0.55
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.03

48128BAH4 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 48128BAH4 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 48128BAH4's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 48128BAH4 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 48128BAH4 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

48128BAH4 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 48128BAH4 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 48128BAH4 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 48128BAH4 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

48128BAH4 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 48128BAH4's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 48128BAH4 bond have on its future price. 48128BAH4 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 48128BAH4 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 48128BAH4 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in JPM 4.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 48128BAH4 Bond

48128BAH4 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 48128BAH4 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 48128BAH4 with respect to the benefits of owning 48128BAH4 security.