US489399AM73 Market Value

489399AM7   77.13  12.03  13.49%   
489399AM7's market value is the price at which a share of 489399AM7 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of US489399AM73 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of US489399AM73 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 489399AM7 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 489399AM7 Correlation, 489399AM7 Volatility and 489399AM7 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 489399AM7.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 489399AM7's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 489399AM7 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 489399AM7's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

489399AM7 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 489399AM7's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 489399AM7.
0.00
10/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 489399AM7 on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding US489399AM73 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 489399AM7 over 30 days. 489399AM7 is related to or competes with Mitsubishi UFJ, HE Equipment, United Rentals, Getty Realty, Air Lease, SunLink Health, and Titan Machinery. More

489399AM7 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 489399AM7's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess US489399AM73 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

489399AM7 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 489399AM7's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 489399AM7's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 489399AM7 historical prices to predict the future 489399AM7's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
75.2377.1379.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
64.6666.5684.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
81.0682.9684.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
75.7380.3484.95
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 489399AM7. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 489399AM7's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 489399AM7's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in US489399AM73.

US489399AM73 Backtested Returns

US489399AM73 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0938, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0938% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 489399AM7 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 489399AM7's Coefficient Of Variation of (2,395), risk adjusted performance of (0.02), and Variance of 12.66 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.9, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. 489399AM7 returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, 489399AM7 is expected to follow.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.77  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

US489399AM73 has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 489399AM7 time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of US489399AM73 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.77 indicates that around 77.0% of current 489399AM7 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.77
Spearman Rank Test-0.67
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance17.66

US489399AM73 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 489399AM7 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 489399AM7's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 489399AM7 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 489399AM7 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

489399AM7 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 489399AM7 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 489399AM7 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 489399AM7 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

489399AM7 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 489399AM7's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 489399AM7 bond have on its future price. 489399AM7 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 489399AM7 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 489399AM7 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in US489399AM73.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 489399AM7 Bond

489399AM7 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 489399AM7 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 489399AM7 with respect to the benefits of owning 489399AM7 security.