KIM 225 01 DEC 31 Market Value

49446RAY5   80.71  3.60  4.27%   
49446RAY5's market value is the price at which a share of 49446RAY5 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of KIM 225 01 DEC 31 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of KIM 225 01 DEC 31 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 49446RAY5 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 49446RAY5 Correlation, 49446RAY5 Volatility and 49446RAY5 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 49446RAY5.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 49446RAY5's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 49446RAY5 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 49446RAY5's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

49446RAY5 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 49446RAY5's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 49446RAY5.
0.00
10/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 49446RAY5 on October 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding KIM 225 01 DEC 31 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 49446RAY5 over 30 days. 49446RAY5 is related to or competes with Small Cap, Vestis, PennantPark Floating, Avis Budget, Cedar Realty, Broadstone Net, and FTAI Aviation. More

49446RAY5 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 49446RAY5's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess KIM 225 01 DEC 31 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

49446RAY5 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 49446RAY5's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 49446RAY5's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 49446RAY5 historical prices to predict the future 49446RAY5's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
79.9180.7181.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
74.2675.0688.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
77.7778.5879.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
77.5981.6485.69
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 49446RAY5. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 49446RAY5's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 49446RAY5's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in KIM 225 01.

KIM 225 01 Backtested Returns

KIM 225 01 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.12, which signifies that the bond had a -0.12% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. KIM 225 01 DEC 31 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 49446RAY5's information ratio of (0.15), and Mean Deviation of 0.5027 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0201, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 49446RAY5 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 49446RAY5 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.45  

Average predictability

KIM 225 01 DEC 31 has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 49446RAY5 time series from 31st of October 2024 to 15th of November 2024 and 15th of November 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of KIM 225 01 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.45 indicates that just about 45.0% of current 49446RAY5 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.45
Spearman Rank Test0.18
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.3

KIM 225 01 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 49446RAY5 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 49446RAY5's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 49446RAY5 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 49446RAY5 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

49446RAY5 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 49446RAY5 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 49446RAY5 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 49446RAY5 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

49446RAY5 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 49446RAY5's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 49446RAY5 bond have on its future price. 49446RAY5 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 49446RAY5 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 49446RAY5 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in KIM 225 01 DEC 31.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in 49446RAY5 Bond

49446RAY5 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 49446RAY5 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 49446RAY5 with respect to the benefits of owning 49446RAY5 security.