LYB INTERNATIONAL FINANCE Market Value

50249AAA1   78.54  1.60  2.08%   
50249AAA1's market value is the price at which a share of 50249AAA1 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of LYB INTERNATIONAL FINANCE investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of LYB INTERNATIONAL FINANCE and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 50249AAA1 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 50249AAA1 Correlation, 50249AAA1 Volatility and 50249AAA1 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 50249AAA1.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 50249AAA1's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 50249AAA1 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 50249AAA1's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

50249AAA1 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 50249AAA1's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 50249AAA1.
0.00
10/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 50249AAA1 on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding LYB INTERNATIONAL FINANCE or generate 0.0% return on investment in 50249AAA1 over 30 days. 50249AAA1 is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, Omega Healthcare, Zoom Video, Granite Construction, Red Cat, and Quantum Computing. More

50249AAA1 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 50249AAA1's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess LYB INTERNATIONAL FINANCE upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

50249AAA1 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 50249AAA1's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 50249AAA1's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 50249AAA1 historical prices to predict the future 50249AAA1's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
77.1478.5479.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
76.3877.7879.18
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
75.9477.3478.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
73.2376.9580.68
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 50249AAA1. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 50249AAA1's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 50249AAA1's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in LYB INTERNATIONAL FINANCE.

LYB INTERNATIONAL FINANCE Backtested Returns

LYB INTERNATIONAL FINANCE retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.14, which signifies that the bond had a -0.14% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 50249AAA1 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 50249AAA1's Information Ratio of (0.10), market risk adjusted performance of (0.10), and Mean Deviation of 0.7433 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.48, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, 50249AAA1's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 50249AAA1 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
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No correlation between past and present

LYB INTERNATIONAL FINANCE has no correlation between past and present. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 50249AAA1 time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of LYB INTERNATIONAL FINANCE price movement. The serial correlation of 0.0 indicates that just 0.0% of current 50249AAA1 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.0
Spearman Rank Test0.45
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.58

LYB INTERNATIONAL FINANCE lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 50249AAA1 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 50249AAA1's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 50249AAA1 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 50249AAA1 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

50249AAA1 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 50249AAA1 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 50249AAA1 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 50249AAA1 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

50249AAA1 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 50249AAA1's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 50249AAA1 bond have on its future price. 50249AAA1 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 50249AAA1 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 50249AAA1 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in LYB INTERNATIONAL FINANCE.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

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Other Information on Investing in 50249AAA1 Bond

50249AAA1 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 50249AAA1 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 50249AAA1 with respect to the benefits of owning 50249AAA1 security.