LYB 125 01 OCT 25 Market Value
| 50249AAF0 | 91.30 5.75 5.92% |
| Symbol | 50249AAF0 |
Please note, there is a significant difference between 50249AAF0's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 50249AAF0 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 50249AAF0's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
50249AAF0 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 50249AAF0's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 50249AAF0.
| 10/29/2024 |
| 11/28/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in 50249AAF0 on October 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding LYB 125 01 OCT 25 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 50249AAF0 over 30 days. 50249AAF0 is related to or competes with National CineMedia, WEC Energy, Black Hills, Barrick Gold, Vistra Energy, and Harmony Gold. More
50249AAF0 Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 50249AAF0's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess LYB 125 01 OCT 25 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.34) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 3.8 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.20) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.2454 |
50249AAF0 Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 50249AAF0's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 50249AAF0's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 50249AAF0 historical prices to predict the future 50249AAF0's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.1) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.08) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.17) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 6.85 |
LYB 125 01 Backtested Returns
LYB 125 01 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.11, which signifies that the bond had a -0.11% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 50249AAF0 exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 50249AAF0's Information Ratio of (0.34), market risk adjusted performance of 6.86, and Mean Deviation of 0.2176 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.0121, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 50249AAF0 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 50249AAF0 is likely to outperform the market.
Auto-correlation | 0.21 |
Weak predictability
LYB 125 01 OCT 25 has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 50249AAF0 time series from 29th of October 2024 to 13th of November 2024 and 13th of November 2024 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of LYB 125 01 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.21 indicates that over 21.0% of current 50249AAF0 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.21 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.6 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.01 |
LYB 125 01 lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is 50249AAF0 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 50249AAF0's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 50249AAF0 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 50249AAF0 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
50249AAF0 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 50249AAF0 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 50249AAF0 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 50249AAF0 bond over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
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50249AAF0 Lagged Returns
When evaluating 50249AAF0's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 50249AAF0 bond have on its future price. 50249AAF0 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 50249AAF0 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 50249AAF0 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in LYB 125 01 OCT 25.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in 50249AAF0 Bond
50249AAF0 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 50249AAF0 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 50249AAF0 with respect to the benefits of owning 50249AAF0 security.