LMT 57 15 NOV 54 Market Value

539830BX6   109.93  5.94  5.71%   
539830BX6's market value is the price at which a share of 539830BX6 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of LMT 57 15 NOV 54 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of LMT 57 15 NOV 54 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 539830BX6 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 539830BX6 Correlation, 539830BX6 Volatility and 539830BX6 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 539830BX6.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 539830BX6's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 539830BX6 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 539830BX6's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

539830BX6 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 539830BX6's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 539830BX6.
0.00
12/06/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 539830BX6 on December 6, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding LMT 57 15 NOV 54 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 539830BX6 over 720 days. 539830BX6 is related to or competes with Treasury Wine, Brandywine Realty, National Beverage, and Diamond Estates. More

539830BX6 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 539830BX6's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess LMT 57 15 NOV 54 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

539830BX6 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 539830BX6's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 539830BX6's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 539830BX6 historical prices to predict the future 539830BX6's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
108.90109.93110.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
99.52100.55120.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
108.91109.94110.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
101.05107.61114.17
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 539830BX6. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 539830BX6's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 539830BX6's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in LMT 57 15.

LMT 57 15 Backtested Returns

LMT 57 15 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0767, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0767% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. LMT 57 15 NOV 54 exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 539830BX6's coefficient of variation of 86965.65, and Mean Deviation of 0.6983 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0517, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 539830BX6's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 539830BX6 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.43  

Modest reverse predictability

LMT 57 15 NOV 54 has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 539830BX6 time series from 6th of December 2022 to 1st of December 2023 and 1st of December 2023 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of LMT 57 15 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.43 indicates that just about 43.0% of current 539830BX6 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.43
Spearman Rank Test-0.14
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance11.61

LMT 57 15 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 539830BX6 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 539830BX6's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 539830BX6 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 539830BX6 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

539830BX6 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 539830BX6 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 539830BX6 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 539830BX6 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

539830BX6 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 539830BX6's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 539830BX6 bond have on its future price. 539830BX6 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 539830BX6 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 539830BX6 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in LMT 57 15 NOV 54.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in 539830BX6 Bond

539830BX6 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 539830BX6 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 539830BX6 with respect to the benefits of owning 539830BX6 security.