MGMCHI 475 01 FEB 27 Market Value

55300RAG6   91.26  5.62  5.80%   
MGMCHI's market value is the price at which a share of MGMCHI trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of MGMCHI 475 01 FEB 27 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of MGMCHI 475 01 FEB 27 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in MGMCHI over a given investment horizon.
Check out MGMCHI Correlation, MGMCHI Volatility and MGMCHI Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on MGMCHI.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between MGMCHI's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MGMCHI is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MGMCHI's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

MGMCHI 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to MGMCHI's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of MGMCHI.
0.00
10/30/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in MGMCHI on October 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding MGMCHI 475 01 FEB 27 or generate 0.0% return on investment in MGMCHI over 30 days. MGMCHI is related to or competes with FitLife Brands,, Bridgford Foods, Nextnav Acquisition, Tyson Foods, Semtech, Tootsie Roll, and BBB Foods. More

MGMCHI Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure MGMCHI's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess MGMCHI 475 01 FEB 27 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

MGMCHI Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for MGMCHI's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as MGMCHI's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use MGMCHI historical prices to predict the future MGMCHI's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
90.3391.2692.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
82.1392.3493.27
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
88.9389.8690.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
91.8296.13100.43
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as MGMCHI. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against MGMCHI's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, MGMCHI's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in MGMCHI 475 01.

MGMCHI 475 01 Backtested Returns

MGMCHI 475 01 has Sharpe Ratio of -0.15, which conveys that the entity had a -0.15% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. MGMCHI exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify MGMCHI's risk adjusted performance of (0.02), and Mean Deviation of 0.4928 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The bond secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.0727, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning MGMCHI are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, MGMCHI is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.83  

Excellent reverse predictability

MGMCHI 475 01 FEB 27 has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between MGMCHI time series from 30th of October 2024 to 14th of November 2024 and 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of MGMCHI 475 01 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.83 indicates that around 83.0% of current MGMCHI price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.83
Spearman Rank Test0.09
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance4.14

MGMCHI 475 01 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is MGMCHI bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting MGMCHI's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of MGMCHI returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that MGMCHI has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

MGMCHI regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If MGMCHI bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if MGMCHI bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in MGMCHI bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

MGMCHI Lagged Returns

When evaluating MGMCHI's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of MGMCHI bond have on its future price. MGMCHI autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, MGMCHI autocorrelation shows the relationship between MGMCHI bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in MGMCHI 475 01 FEB 27.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in MGMCHI Bond

MGMCHI financial ratios help investors to determine whether MGMCHI Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MGMCHI with respect to the benefits of owning MGMCHI security.