MQGAU 5108 09 AUG 26 Market Value

55608KBF1   99.40  0.00  0.00%   
MQGAU's market value is the price at which a share of MQGAU trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of MQGAU 5108 09 AUG 26 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of MQGAU 5108 09 AUG 26 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in MQGAU over a given investment horizon.
Check out MQGAU Correlation, MQGAU Volatility and MQGAU Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on MQGAU.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between MQGAU's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MQGAU is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MQGAU's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

MQGAU 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to MQGAU's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of MQGAU.
0.00
10/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in MQGAU on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding MQGAU 5108 09 AUG 26 or generate 0.0% return on investment in MQGAU over 30 days. MQGAU is related to or competes with Anheuser Busch, Ambev SA, Thai Beverage, Cincinnati Financial, Willamette Valley, and Maiden Holdings. More

MQGAU Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure MQGAU's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess MQGAU 5108 09 AUG 26 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

MQGAU Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for MQGAU's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as MQGAU's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use MQGAU historical prices to predict the future MQGAU's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
98.8099.40100.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
98.8299.42100.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
98.2698.8599.45
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
98.5199.68100.86
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as MQGAU. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against MQGAU's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, MQGAU's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in MQGAU 5108 09.

MQGAU 5108 09 Backtested Returns

MQGAU 5108 09 has Sharpe Ratio of -0.12, which conveys that the entity had a -0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. MQGAU exposes twenty-five different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify MQGAU's risk adjusted performance of (0.0003), and Mean Deviation of 0.4131 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The bond secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.17, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, MQGAU's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding MQGAU is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.84  

Very good predictability

MQGAU 5108 09 AUG 26 has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between MQGAU time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of MQGAU 5108 09 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.84 indicates that around 84.0% of current MQGAU price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.84
Spearman Rank Test0.77
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.25

MQGAU 5108 09 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is MQGAU bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting MQGAU's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of MQGAU returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that MQGAU has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

MQGAU regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If MQGAU bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if MQGAU bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in MQGAU bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

MQGAU Lagged Returns

When evaluating MQGAU's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of MQGAU bond have on its future price. MQGAU autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, MQGAU autocorrelation shows the relationship between MQGAU bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in MQGAU 5108 09 AUG 26.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in MQGAU Bond

MQGAU financial ratios help investors to determine whether MQGAU Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MQGAU with respect to the benefits of owning MQGAU security.