MCDONALDS P MEDIUM Market Value

58013MEU4   98.10  0.58  0.59%   
58013MEU4's market value is the price at which a share of 58013MEU4 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of MCDONALDS P MEDIUM investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of MCDONALDS P MEDIUM and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 58013MEU4 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 58013MEU4 Correlation, 58013MEU4 Volatility and 58013MEU4 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 58013MEU4.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 58013MEU4's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 58013MEU4 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 58013MEU4's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

58013MEU4 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 58013MEU4's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 58013MEU4.
0.00
12/19/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
12/13/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 58013MEU4 on December 19, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding MCDONALDS P MEDIUM or generate 0.0% return on investment in 58013MEU4 over 360 days. 58013MEU4 is related to or competes with Air Products, Insteel Industries, Lion One, Hawkins, Algoma Steel, Yuexiu Transport, and Axalta Coating. More

58013MEU4 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 58013MEU4's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess MCDONALDS P MEDIUM upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

58013MEU4 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 58013MEU4's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 58013MEU4's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 58013MEU4 historical prices to predict the future 58013MEU4's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
97.8098.1098.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
97.7798.0798.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
97.4397.7398.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
97.8199.02100.22
Details

MCDONALDS P MEDIUM Backtested Returns

MCDONALDS P MEDIUM secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0543, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0543% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. MCDONALDS P MEDIUM exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 58013MEU4's mean deviation of 0.2086, and Information Ratio of (0.27) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The entity shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0205, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 58013MEU4 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 58013MEU4 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.05  

Very weak reverse predictability

MCDONALDS P MEDIUM has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 58013MEU4 time series from 19th of December 2023 to 16th of June 2024 and 16th of June 2024 to 13th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of MCDONALDS P MEDIUM price movement. The serial correlation of -0.05 indicates that only as little as 5.0% of current 58013MEU4 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.05
Spearman Rank Test0.17
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.2

MCDONALDS P MEDIUM lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 58013MEU4 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 58013MEU4's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 58013MEU4 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 58013MEU4 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

58013MEU4 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 58013MEU4 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 58013MEU4 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 58013MEU4 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

58013MEU4 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 58013MEU4's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 58013MEU4 bond have on its future price. 58013MEU4 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 58013MEU4 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 58013MEU4 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in MCDONALDS P MEDIUM.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 58013MEU4 Bond

58013MEU4 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 58013MEU4 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 58013MEU4 with respect to the benefits of owning 58013MEU4 security.