MICROSOFT P 375 Market Value

594918AU8   88.85  4.16  4.91%   
594918AU8's market value is the price at which a share of 594918AU8 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of MICROSOFT P 375 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of MICROSOFT P 375 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 594918AU8 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 594918AU8 Correlation, 594918AU8 Volatility and 594918AU8 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 594918AU8.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 594918AU8's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 594918AU8 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 594918AU8's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

594918AU8 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 594918AU8's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 594918AU8.
0.00
10/24/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 594918AU8 on October 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding MICROSOFT P 375 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 594918AU8 over 30 days. 594918AU8 is related to or competes with Coca Cola, JPMorgan Chase, Dupont De, Alcoa Corp, Boeing, Microsoft, and Procter Gamble. More

594918AU8 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 594918AU8's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess MICROSOFT P 375 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

594918AU8 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 594918AU8's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 594918AU8's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 594918AU8 historical prices to predict the future 594918AU8's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
87.2088.8590.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
82.5184.1697.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
88.6790.3291.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
83.4188.1492.88
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 594918AU8. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 594918AU8's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 594918AU8's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in MICROSOFT P 375.

MICROSOFT P 375 Backtested Returns

MICROSOFT P 375 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0478, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0478% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 594918AU8 exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 594918AU8's Mean Deviation of 1.16, market risk adjusted performance of 0.3398, and Standard Deviation of 1.52 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.24, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 594918AU8's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 594918AU8 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.43  

Average predictability

MICROSOFT P 375 has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 594918AU8 time series from 24th of October 2024 to 8th of November 2024 and 8th of November 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of MICROSOFT P 375 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.43 indicates that just about 43.0% of current 594918AU8 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.43
Spearman Rank Test-0.11
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.04

MICROSOFT P 375 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 594918AU8 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 594918AU8's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 594918AU8 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 594918AU8 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

594918AU8 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 594918AU8 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 594918AU8 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 594918AU8 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

594918AU8 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 594918AU8's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 594918AU8 bond have on its future price. 594918AU8 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 594918AU8 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 594918AU8 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in MICROSOFT P 375.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

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Other Information on Investing in 594918AU8 Bond

594918AU8 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 594918AU8 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 594918AU8 with respect to the benefits of owning 594918AU8 security.