MSI 56 01 JUN 32 Market Value

620076BW8   99.22  4.43  4.27%   
620076BW8's market value is the price at which a share of 620076BW8 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of MSI 56 01 JUN 32 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of MSI 56 01 JUN 32 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 620076BW8 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 620076BW8 Correlation, 620076BW8 Volatility and 620076BW8 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 620076BW8.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 620076BW8's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 620076BW8 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 620076BW8's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

620076BW8 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 620076BW8's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 620076BW8.
0.00
06/08/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 5 months and 25 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 620076BW8 on June 8, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding MSI 56 01 JUN 32 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 620076BW8 over 540 days. 620076BW8 is related to or competes with ATT, Home Depot, Cisco Systems, Dupont De, GE Aerospace, Johnson Johnson, and Intel. More

620076BW8 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 620076BW8's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess MSI 56 01 JUN 32 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

620076BW8 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 620076BW8's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 620076BW8's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 620076BW8 historical prices to predict the future 620076BW8's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
98.4399.22100.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
85.6186.40109.14
Details

MSI 56 01 Backtested Returns

MSI 56 01 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0742, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0742% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. MSI 56 01 JUN 32 exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 620076BW8's mean deviation of 0.7791, and Information Ratio of (0.17) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0354, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 620076BW8's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 620076BW8 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.54  

Modest predictability

MSI 56 01 JUN 32 has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 620076BW8 time series from 8th of June 2023 to 4th of March 2024 and 4th of March 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of MSI 56 01 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.54 indicates that about 54.0% of current 620076BW8 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.54
Spearman Rank Test0.33
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.84

MSI 56 01 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 620076BW8 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 620076BW8's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 620076BW8 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 620076BW8 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

620076BW8 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 620076BW8 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 620076BW8 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 620076BW8 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

620076BW8 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 620076BW8's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 620076BW8 bond have on its future price. 620076BW8 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 620076BW8 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 620076BW8 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in MSI 56 01 JUN 32.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 620076BW8 Bond

620076BW8 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 620076BW8 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 620076BW8 with respect to the benefits of owning 620076BW8 security.