NXPI 325 30 NOV 51 Market Value

62954HAN8   64.70  2.69  3.99%   
62954HAN8's market value is the price at which a share of 62954HAN8 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of NXPI 325 30 NOV 51 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of NXPI 325 30 NOV 51 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 62954HAN8 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 62954HAN8 Correlation, 62954HAN8 Volatility and 62954HAN8 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 62954HAN8.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 62954HAN8's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 62954HAN8 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 62954HAN8's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

62954HAN8 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 62954HAN8's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 62954HAN8.
0.00
03/05/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 8 months and 28 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 62954HAN8 on March 5, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding NXPI 325 30 NOV 51 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 62954HAN8 over 270 days. 62954HAN8 is related to or competes with Diageo PLC, SNDL, Biglari Holdings, Coca Cola, Boston Beer, Oatly Group, and Ryman Hospitality. More

62954HAN8 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 62954HAN8's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess NXPI 325 30 NOV 51 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

62954HAN8 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 62954HAN8's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 62954HAN8's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 62954HAN8 historical prices to predict the future 62954HAN8's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
63.3964.7066.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
54.6055.9171.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
62.4163.7265.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
64.2366.0967.95
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 62954HAN8. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 62954HAN8's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 62954HAN8's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in NXPI 325 30.

NXPI 325 30 Backtested Returns

NXPI 325 30 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.13, which signifies that the bond had a -0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. NXPI 325 30 NOV 51 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 62954HAN8's variance of 1.33, and Mean Deviation of 0.8712 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.16, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 62954HAN8's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 62954HAN8 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.68  

Very good reverse predictability

NXPI 325 30 NOV 51 has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 62954HAN8 time series from 5th of March 2024 to 18th of July 2024 and 18th of July 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of NXPI 325 30 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.68 indicates that around 68.0% of current 62954HAN8 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.68
Spearman Rank Test0.06
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.0

NXPI 325 30 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 62954HAN8 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 62954HAN8's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 62954HAN8 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 62954HAN8 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

62954HAN8 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 62954HAN8 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 62954HAN8 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 62954HAN8 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

62954HAN8 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 62954HAN8's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 62954HAN8 bond have on its future price. 62954HAN8 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 62954HAN8 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 62954HAN8 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in NXPI 325 30 NOV 51.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in 62954HAN8 Bond

62954HAN8 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 62954HAN8 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 62954HAN8 with respect to the benefits of owning 62954HAN8 security.