NTT 1591 03 APR 28 Market Value

62954WAD7   84.05  5.89  6.55%   
62954WAD7's market value is the price at which a share of 62954WAD7 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of NTT 1591 03 APR 28 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of NTT 1591 03 APR 28 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 62954WAD7 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 62954WAD7 Correlation, 62954WAD7 Volatility and 62954WAD7 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 62954WAD7.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 62954WAD7's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 62954WAD7 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 62954WAD7's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

62954WAD7 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 62954WAD7's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 62954WAD7.
0.00
12/05/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 62954WAD7 on December 5, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding NTT 1591 03 APR 28 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 62954WAD7 over 720 days. 62954WAD7 is related to or competes with Ihuman, Udemy, Scholastic, Hudson Pacific, LGI Homes, Daily Journal, and Acco Brands. More

62954WAD7 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 62954WAD7's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess NTT 1591 03 APR 28 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

62954WAD7 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 62954WAD7's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 62954WAD7's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 62954WAD7 historical prices to predict the future 62954WAD7's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
82.6184.0585.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
75.6585.5486.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
81.0282.4683.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
82.9085.9989.08
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 62954WAD7. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 62954WAD7's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 62954WAD7's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in NTT 1591 03.

NTT 1591 03 Backtested Returns

NTT 1591 03 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.24, which signifies that the bond had a -0.24% return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. NTT 1591 03 APR 28 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 62954WAD7's standard deviation of 1.43, and Mean Deviation of 0.5836 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0164, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 62954WAD7's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 62954WAD7 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.12  

Insignificant predictability

NTT 1591 03 APR 28 has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 62954WAD7 time series from 5th of December 2022 to 30th of November 2023 and 30th of November 2023 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of NTT 1591 03 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.12 indicates that less than 12.0% of current 62954WAD7 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.12
Spearman Rank Test-0.01
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.78

NTT 1591 03 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 62954WAD7 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 62954WAD7's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 62954WAD7 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 62954WAD7 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

62954WAD7 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 62954WAD7 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 62954WAD7 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 62954WAD7 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

62954WAD7 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 62954WAD7's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 62954WAD7 bond have on its future price. 62954WAD7 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 62954WAD7 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 62954WAD7 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in NTT 1591 03 APR 28.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in 62954WAD7 Bond

62954WAD7 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 62954WAD7 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 62954WAD7 with respect to the benefits of owning 62954WAD7 security.