NWG 5903249 22 MAR 25 Market Value

63906YAF5   100.43  0.00  0.00%   
63906YAF5's market value is the price at which a share of 63906YAF5 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of NWG 5903249 22 MAR 25 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of NWG 5903249 22 MAR 25 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 63906YAF5 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 63906YAF5 Correlation, 63906YAF5 Volatility and 63906YAF5 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 63906YAF5.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 63906YAF5's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 63906YAF5 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 63906YAF5's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

63906YAF5 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 63906YAF5's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 63906YAF5.
0.00
10/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 63906YAF5 on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding NWG 5903249 22 MAR 25 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 63906YAF5 over 30 days. 63906YAF5 is related to or competes with Weibo Corp, Alaska Air, Radcom, American Airlines, Arrow Electronics, and Sun Country. More

63906YAF5 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 63906YAF5's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess NWG 5903249 22 MAR 25 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

63906YAF5 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 63906YAF5's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 63906YAF5's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 63906YAF5 historical prices to predict the future 63906YAF5's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
100.39100.43100.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
96.1796.21110.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
100.21100.25100.29
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
100.41100.61100.81
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 63906YAF5. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 63906YAF5's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 63906YAF5's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in NWG 5903249 22.

NWG 5903249 22 Backtested Returns

NWG 5903249 22 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.33, which signifies that the bond had a -0.33% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. NWG 5903249 22 MAR 25 exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 63906YAF5's standard deviation of 0.4258, and Mean Deviation of 0.2149 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.13, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 63906YAF5's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 63906YAF5 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.00  

No correlation between past and present

NWG 5903249 22 MAR 25 has no correlation between past and present. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 63906YAF5 time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of NWG 5903249 22 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.0 indicates that just 0.0% of current 63906YAF5 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.0
Spearman Rank Test0.0
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

NWG 5903249 22 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 63906YAF5 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 63906YAF5's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 63906YAF5 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 63906YAF5 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

63906YAF5 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 63906YAF5 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 63906YAF5 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 63906YAF5 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

63906YAF5 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 63906YAF5's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 63906YAF5 bond have on its future price. 63906YAF5 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 63906YAF5 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 63906YAF5 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in NWG 5903249 22 MAR 25.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in 63906YAF5 Bond

63906YAF5 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 63906YAF5 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 63906YAF5 with respect to the benefits of owning 63906YAF5 security.