NORSK HYDRO A Market Value

656531AD2   102.61  0.36  0.35%   
NORSK's market value is the price at which a share of NORSK trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of NORSK HYDRO A investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of NORSK HYDRO A and determine expected loss or profit from investing in NORSK over a given investment horizon.
Check out NORSK Correlation, NORSK Volatility and NORSK Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on NORSK.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between NORSK's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NORSK is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NORSK's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

NORSK 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to NORSK's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of NORSK.
0.00
10/24/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in NORSK on October 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding NORSK HYDRO A or generate 0.0% return on investment in NORSK over 30 days. NORSK is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, Dupont De, Travelers Companies, Exxon, GE Aerospace, and JPMorgan Chase. More

NORSK Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure NORSK's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess NORSK HYDRO A upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

NORSK Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for NORSK's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as NORSK's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use NORSK historical prices to predict the future NORSK's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
102.31102.61102.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
102.45102.75103.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
102.94103.23103.53
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
102.06102.78103.49
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as NORSK. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against NORSK's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, NORSK's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in NORSK HYDRO A.

NORSK HYDRO A Backtested Returns

At this point, NORSK is very steady. NORSK HYDRO A has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0161, which conveys that the entity had a 0.0161% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for NORSK, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the bond. Please verify NORSK's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0294, market risk adjusted performance of 0.2225, and Mean Deviation of 0.1854 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0048%. The bond secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.0284, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, NORSK's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding NORSK is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.14  

Insignificant reverse predictability

NORSK HYDRO A has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between NORSK time series from 24th of October 2024 to 8th of November 2024 and 8th of November 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of NORSK HYDRO A price movement. The serial correlation of -0.14 indicates that less than 14.0% of current NORSK price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.14
Spearman Rank Test0.12
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.07

NORSK HYDRO A lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is NORSK bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting NORSK's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of NORSK returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that NORSK has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

NORSK regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If NORSK bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if NORSK bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in NORSK bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

NORSK Lagged Returns

When evaluating NORSK's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of NORSK bond have on its future price. NORSK autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, NORSK autocorrelation shows the relationship between NORSK bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in NORSK HYDRO A.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in NORSK Bond

NORSK financial ratios help investors to determine whether NORSK Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NORSK with respect to the benefits of owning NORSK security.