NuStar Logistics 6 Market Value

67059TAF2   100.79  0.23  0.23%   
NuStar's market value is the price at which a share of NuStar trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of NuStar Logistics 6 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of NuStar Logistics 6 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in NuStar over a given investment horizon.
Check out NuStar Correlation, NuStar Volatility and NuStar Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on NuStar.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between NuStar's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NuStar is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NuStar's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

NuStar 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to NuStar's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of NuStar.
0.00
10/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in NuStar on October 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding NuStar Logistics 6 or generate 0.0% return on investment in NuStar over 30 days. NuStar is related to or competes with Axalta Coating, Evolution Mining, CF Industries, Hawkins, Harmony Gold, NioCorp Developments, and Vindicator Silver. More

NuStar Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure NuStar's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess NuStar Logistics 6 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

NuStar Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for NuStar's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as NuStar's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use NuStar historical prices to predict the future NuStar's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
97.4797.9098.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
67.9168.34107.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
69.9670.3870.81
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
35.6389.99144.36
Details

NuStar Logistics 6 Backtested Returns

NuStar Logistics 6 has Sharpe Ratio of -0.11, which conveys that the entity had a -0.11% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. NuStar exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify NuStar's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 1.67, risk adjusted performance of (0.04), and Mean Deviation of 0.3225 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The bond secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.0257, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning NuStar are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, NuStar is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.10  

Insignificant predictability

NuStar Logistics 6 has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between NuStar time series from 27th of October 2024 to 11th of November 2024 and 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of NuStar Logistics 6 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.1 indicates that less than 10.0% of current NuStar price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.1
Spearman Rank Test0.51
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.82

NuStar Logistics 6 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is NuStar bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting NuStar's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of NuStar returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that NuStar has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

NuStar regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If NuStar bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if NuStar bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in NuStar bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

NuStar Lagged Returns

When evaluating NuStar's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of NuStar bond have on its future price. NuStar autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, NuStar autocorrelation shows the relationship between NuStar bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in NuStar Logistics 6.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in NuStar Bond

NuStar financial ratios help investors to determine whether NuStar Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NuStar with respect to the benefits of owning NuStar security.