NUTRIEN LTD 4 Market Value
| 67077MAE8 | 94.66 3.83 3.89% |
| Symbol | 67077MAE8 |
67077MAE8 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 67077MAE8's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 67077MAE8.
| 08/31/2024 |
| 11/29/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in 67077MAE8 on August 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding NUTRIEN LTD 4 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 67077MAE8 over 90 days. 67077MAE8 is related to or competes with Uber Technologies, KNOT Offshore, Bank of New York, Lipocine, Solstad Offshore, Arrow Electronics, and Artisan Partners. More
67077MAE8 Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 67077MAE8's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess NUTRIEN LTD 4 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.36) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 1.83 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.33) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.2646 |
67077MAE8 Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 67077MAE8's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 67077MAE8's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 67077MAE8 historical prices to predict the future 67077MAE8's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.11) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.12) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.18) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.38) |
NUTRIEN LTD 4 Backtested Returns
NUTRIEN LTD 4 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.14, which signifies that the bond had a -0.14% return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. NUTRIEN LTD 4 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 67077MAE8's standard deviation of 0.5693, and Mean Deviation of 0.222 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.24, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 67077MAE8's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 67077MAE8 is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | 0.31 |
Below average predictability
NUTRIEN LTD 4 has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 67077MAE8 time series from 31st of August 2024 to 15th of October 2024 and 15th of October 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of NUTRIEN LTD 4 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.31 indicates that nearly 31.0% of current 67077MAE8 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.31 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.47 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.07 |
NUTRIEN LTD 4 lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is 67077MAE8 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 67077MAE8's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 67077MAE8 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 67077MAE8 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
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67077MAE8 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 67077MAE8 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 67077MAE8 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 67077MAE8 bond over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
67077MAE8 Lagged Returns
When evaluating 67077MAE8's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 67077MAE8 bond have on its future price. 67077MAE8 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 67077MAE8 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 67077MAE8 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in NUTRIEN LTD 4.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in 67077MAE8 Bond
67077MAE8 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 67077MAE8 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 67077MAE8 with respect to the benefits of owning 67077MAE8 security.