NUTRIEN LTD Market Value

67077MAT5   95.62  2.54  2.59%   
67077MAT5's market value is the price at which a share of 67077MAT5 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of NUTRIEN LTD investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of NUTRIEN LTD and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 67077MAT5 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 67077MAT5 Correlation, 67077MAT5 Volatility and 67077MAT5 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 67077MAT5.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 67077MAT5's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 67077MAT5 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 67077MAT5's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

67077MAT5 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 67077MAT5's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 67077MAT5.
0.00
11/01/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 67077MAT5 on November 1, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding NUTRIEN LTD or generate 0.0% return on investment in 67077MAT5 over 30 days. 67077MAT5 is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, Bank of America, GE Aerospace, Dupont De, International Business, and McDonalds. More

67077MAT5 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 67077MAT5's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess NUTRIEN LTD upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

67077MAT5 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 67077MAT5's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 67077MAT5's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 67077MAT5 historical prices to predict the future 67077MAT5's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
95.2195.6296.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
92.2092.61105.18
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
94.5794.9795.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
93.4096.3199.22
Details

NUTRIEN LTD Backtested Returns

NUTRIEN LTD secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.14, which signifies that the bond had a -0.14% return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. NUTRIEN LTD exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 67077MAT5's mean deviation of 0.3935, and Standard Deviation of 0.907 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0052, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 67077MAT5's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 67077MAT5 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.33  

Below average predictability

NUTRIEN LTD has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 67077MAT5 time series from 1st of November 2024 to 16th of November 2024 and 16th of November 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of NUTRIEN LTD price movement. The serial correlation of 0.33 indicates that nearly 33.0% of current 67077MAT5 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.33
Spearman Rank Test-0.04
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.79

NUTRIEN LTD lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 67077MAT5 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 67077MAT5's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 67077MAT5 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 67077MAT5 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

67077MAT5 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 67077MAT5 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 67077MAT5 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 67077MAT5 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

67077MAT5 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 67077MAT5's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 67077MAT5 bond have on its future price. 67077MAT5 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 67077MAT5 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 67077MAT5 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in NUTRIEN LTD.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 67077MAT5 Bond

67077MAT5 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 67077MAT5 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 67077MAT5 with respect to the benefits of owning 67077MAT5 security.