Oil and Gas Market Value

67778NAA6   103.20  0.25  0.24%   
67778NAA6's market value is the price at which a share of 67778NAA6 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Oil and Gas investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Oil and Gas and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 67778NAA6 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 67778NAA6 Correlation, 67778NAA6 Volatility and 67778NAA6 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 67778NAA6.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 67778NAA6's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 67778NAA6 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 67778NAA6's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

67778NAA6 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 67778NAA6's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 67778NAA6.
0.00
08/02/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 3 months and 26 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 67778NAA6 on August 2, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Oil and Gas or generate 0.0% return on investment in 67778NAA6 over 480 days. 67778NAA6 is related to or competes with Yuexiu Transport, Agnico Eagle, Victorias Secret, Uranium Energy, Ross Stores, Barrick Gold, and Capital Clean. More

67778NAA6 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 67778NAA6's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Oil and Gas upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

67778NAA6 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 67778NAA6's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 67778NAA6's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 67778NAA6 historical prices to predict the future 67778NAA6's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
102.67103.20103.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
91.4491.97113.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
103.34103.87104.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
103.05103.28103.52
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 67778NAA6. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 67778NAA6's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 67778NAA6's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Oil and Gas.

Oil and Gas Backtested Returns

Oil and Gas secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0476, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0476% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Oil and Gas exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 67778NAA6's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.9598, coefficient of variation of (3,435), and Mean Deviation of 0.349 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0261, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 67778NAA6 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 67778NAA6 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.52  

Modest predictability

Oil and Gas has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 67778NAA6 time series from 2nd of August 2023 to 29th of March 2024 and 29th of March 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Oil and Gas price movement. The serial correlation of 0.52 indicates that about 52.0% of current 67778NAA6 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.52
Spearman Rank Test0.48
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.34

Oil and Gas lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 67778NAA6 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 67778NAA6's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 67778NAA6 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 67778NAA6 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

67778NAA6 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 67778NAA6 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 67778NAA6 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 67778NAA6 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

67778NAA6 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 67778NAA6's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 67778NAA6 bond have on its future price. 67778NAA6 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 67778NAA6 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 67778NAA6 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Oil and Gas.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 67778NAA6 Bond

67778NAA6 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 67778NAA6 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 67778NAA6 with respect to the benefits of owning 67778NAA6 security.