ORI 385 11 JUN 51 Market Value

680223AL8   69.21  4.57  6.19%   
680223AL8's market value is the price at which a share of 680223AL8 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of ORI 385 11 JUN 51 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of ORI 385 11 JUN 51 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 680223AL8 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 680223AL8 Correlation, 680223AL8 Volatility and 680223AL8 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 680223AL8.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 680223AL8's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 680223AL8 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 680223AL8's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

680223AL8 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 680223AL8's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 680223AL8.
0.00
06/08/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 5 months and 25 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 680223AL8 on June 8, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ORI 385 11 JUN 51 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 680223AL8 over 540 days. 680223AL8 is related to or competes with ATT, Home Depot, Cisco Systems, Dupont De, GE Aerospace, Johnson Johnson, and Intel. More

680223AL8 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 680223AL8's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ORI 385 11 JUN 51 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

680223AL8 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 680223AL8's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 680223AL8's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 680223AL8 historical prices to predict the future 680223AL8's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
67.7269.2170.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
62.2971.4672.95
Details

ORI 385 11 Backtested Returns

ORI 385 11 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.14, which signifies that the bond had a -0.14% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. ORI 385 11 JUN 51 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 680223AL8's Mean Deviation of 0.9453, information ratio of (0.12), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 5.6 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0092, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 680223AL8 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 680223AL8 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.34  

Below average predictability

ORI 385 11 JUN 51 has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 680223AL8 time series from 8th of June 2023 to 4th of March 2024 and 4th of March 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ORI 385 11 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.34 indicates that nearly 34.0% of current 680223AL8 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.34
Spearman Rank Test0.15
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.77

ORI 385 11 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 680223AL8 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 680223AL8's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 680223AL8 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 680223AL8 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

680223AL8 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 680223AL8 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 680223AL8 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 680223AL8 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

680223AL8 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 680223AL8's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 680223AL8 bond have on its future price. 680223AL8 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 680223AL8 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 680223AL8 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in ORI 385 11 JUN 51.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 680223AL8 Bond

680223AL8 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 680223AL8 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 680223AL8 with respect to the benefits of owning 680223AL8 security.