Open Text Market Value

683720AA4   88.75  2.99  3.26%   
683720AA4's market value is the price at which a share of 683720AA4 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Open Text investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Open Text and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 683720AA4 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 683720AA4 Correlation, 683720AA4 Volatility and 683720AA4 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 683720AA4.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 683720AA4's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 683720AA4 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 683720AA4's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

683720AA4 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 683720AA4's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 683720AA4.
0.00
06/08/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 5 months and 25 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 683720AA4 on June 8, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Open Text or generate 0.0% return on investment in 683720AA4 over 540 days. 683720AA4 is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, FactSet Research, Golden Agri-Resources, China Mengniu, Sitio Royalties, and UDR. More

683720AA4 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 683720AA4's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Open Text upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

683720AA4 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 683720AA4's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 683720AA4's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 683720AA4 historical prices to predict the future 683720AA4's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
88.2488.7589.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
80.7381.2497.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
88.9889.4990.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
81.3887.8894.37
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 683720AA4. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 683720AA4's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 683720AA4's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Open Text.

Open Text Backtested Returns

Open Text secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.14, which signifies that the bond had a -0.14% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. Open Text exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 683720AA4's market risk adjusted performance of (0.68), and Mean Deviation of 0.8482 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0959, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 683720AA4's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 683720AA4 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.65  

Good predictability

Open Text has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 683720AA4 time series from 8th of June 2023 to 4th of March 2024 and 4th of March 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Open Text price movement. The serial correlation of 0.65 indicates that roughly 65.0% of current 683720AA4 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.65
Spearman Rank Test0.62
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.29

Open Text lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 683720AA4 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 683720AA4's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 683720AA4 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 683720AA4 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

683720AA4 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 683720AA4 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 683720AA4 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 683720AA4 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

683720AA4 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 683720AA4's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 683720AA4 bond have on its future price. 683720AA4 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 683720AA4 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 683720AA4 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Open Text.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 683720AA4 Bond

683720AA4 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 683720AA4 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 683720AA4 with respect to the benefits of owning 683720AA4 security.