ORCL 615 09 NOV 29 Market Value
| 68389XCH6 | 104.81 0.59 0.56% |
| Symbol | 68389XCH6 |
Please note, there is a significant difference between 68389XCH6's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 68389XCH6 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 68389XCH6's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
68389XCH6 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 68389XCH6's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 68389XCH6.
| 10/29/2023 |
| 11/22/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in 68389XCH6 on October 29, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ORCL 615 09 NOV 29 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 68389XCH6 over 390 days. 68389XCH6 is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, 3M, Alcoa Corp, ATT, Johnson Johnson, and Intel. More
68389XCH6 Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 68389XCH6's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ORCL 615 09 NOV 29 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.16) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.91 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.63) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.21 |
68389XCH6 Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 68389XCH6's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 68389XCH6's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 68389XCH6 historical prices to predict the future 68389XCH6's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.03) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.04) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.16) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 17.79 |
ORCL 615 09 Backtested Returns
ORCL 615 09 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.14, which signifies that the bond had a -0.14% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 68389XCH6 exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 68389XCH6's information ratio of (0.16), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 17.8 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.0025, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 68389XCH6 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 68389XCH6 is likely to outperform the market.
Auto-correlation | 0.34 |
Below average predictability
ORCL 615 09 NOV 29 has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 68389XCH6 time series from 29th of October 2023 to 11th of May 2024 and 11th of May 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ORCL 615 09 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.34 indicates that nearly 34.0% of current 68389XCH6 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.34 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.0 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.79 |
ORCL 615 09 lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is 68389XCH6 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 68389XCH6's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 68389XCH6 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 68389XCH6 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
68389XCH6 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 68389XCH6 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 68389XCH6 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 68389XCH6 bond over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
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68389XCH6 Lagged Returns
When evaluating 68389XCH6's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 68389XCH6 bond have on its future price. 68389XCH6 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 68389XCH6 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 68389XCH6 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in ORCL 615 09 NOV 29.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in 68389XCH6 Bond
68389XCH6 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 68389XCH6 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 68389XCH6 with respect to the benefits of owning 68389XCH6 security.