US688239AF99 Market Value

688239AF9   99.38  0.21  0.21%   
688239AF9's market value is the price at which a share of 688239AF9 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of US688239AF99 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of US688239AF99 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 688239AF9 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 688239AF9 Correlation, 688239AF9 Volatility and 688239AF9 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 688239AF9.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 688239AF9's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 688239AF9 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 688239AF9's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

688239AF9 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 688239AF9's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 688239AF9.
0.00
10/29/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 688239AF9 on October 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding US688239AF99 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 688239AF9 over 30 days. 688239AF9 is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, PayPal Holdings, IONQ, Nasdaq, Vertiv Holdings, and Microsoft. More

688239AF9 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 688239AF9's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess US688239AF99 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

688239AF9 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 688239AF9's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 688239AF9's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 688239AF9 historical prices to predict the future 688239AF9's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
98.5699.38100.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
82.1082.92109.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
96.3997.2198.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
95.8898.46101.04
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 688239AF9. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 688239AF9's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 688239AF9's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in US688239AF99.

US688239AF99 Backtested Returns

US688239AF99 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.15, which signifies that the bond had a -0.15% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 688239AF9 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 688239AF9's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02), coefficient of variation of (2,881), and Variance of 0.8466 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.16, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 688239AF9 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 688239AF9 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.82  

Excellent reverse predictability

US688239AF99 has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 688239AF9 time series from 29th of October 2024 to 13th of November 2024 and 13th of November 2024 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of US688239AF99 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.82 indicates that around 82.0% of current 688239AF9 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.82
Spearman Rank Test-0.54
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

US688239AF99 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 688239AF9 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 688239AF9's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 688239AF9 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 688239AF9 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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688239AF9 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 688239AF9 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 688239AF9 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 688239AF9 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

688239AF9 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 688239AF9's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 688239AF9 bond have on its future price. 688239AF9 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 688239AF9 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 688239AF9 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in US688239AF99.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 688239AF9 Bond

688239AF9 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 688239AF9 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 688239AF9 with respect to the benefits of owning 688239AF9 security.