PECO ENERGY 39 Market Value

693304AW7   78.49  0.27  0.34%   
693304AW7's market value is the price at which a share of 693304AW7 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of PECO ENERGY 39 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of PECO ENERGY 39 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 693304AW7 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 693304AW7 Correlation, 693304AW7 Volatility and 693304AW7 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 693304AW7.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 693304AW7's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 693304AW7 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 693304AW7's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

693304AW7 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 693304AW7's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 693304AW7.
0.00
12/03/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 693304AW7 on December 3, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding PECO ENERGY 39 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 693304AW7 over 720 days. 693304AW7 is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, Dupont De, Travelers Companies, Exxon, GE Aerospace, and JPMorgan Chase. More

693304AW7 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 693304AW7's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess PECO ENERGY 39 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

693304AW7 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 693304AW7's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 693304AW7's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 693304AW7 historical prices to predict the future 693304AW7's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
77.6578.4979.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
70.6479.3580.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
77.9378.7879.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
76.7081.2285.73
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 693304AW7. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 693304AW7's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 693304AW7's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in PECO ENERGY.

PECO ENERGY Backtested Returns

PECO ENERGY retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.14, which signifies that the bond had a -0.14% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 693304AW7 exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 693304AW7's standard deviation of 1.83, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.22, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 693304AW7's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 693304AW7 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.40  

Average predictability

PECO ENERGY 39 has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 693304AW7 time series from 3rd of December 2022 to 28th of November 2023 and 28th of November 2023 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of PECO ENERGY price movement. The serial correlation of 0.4 indicates that just about 40.0% of current 693304AW7 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.4
Spearman Rank Test0.58
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.69

PECO ENERGY lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 693304AW7 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 693304AW7's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 693304AW7 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 693304AW7 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

693304AW7 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 693304AW7 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 693304AW7 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 693304AW7 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

693304AW7 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 693304AW7's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 693304AW7 bond have on its future price. 693304AW7 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 693304AW7 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 693304AW7 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in PECO ENERGY 39.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 693304AW7 Bond

693304AW7 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 693304AW7 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 693304AW7 with respect to the benefits of owning 693304AW7 security.