PCG 42 01 JUN 41 Market Value

694308JU2   79.30  5.46  6.44%   
694308JU2's market value is the price at which a share of 694308JU2 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of PCG 42 01 JUN 41 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of PCG 42 01 JUN 41 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 694308JU2 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 694308JU2 Correlation, 694308JU2 Volatility and 694308JU2 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 694308JU2.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 694308JU2's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 694308JU2 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 694308JU2's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

694308JU2 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 694308JU2's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 694308JU2.
0.00
09/12/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
12/11/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 694308JU2 on September 12, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding PCG 42 01 JUN 41 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 694308JU2 over 90 days. 694308JU2 is related to or competes with Vodka Brands, Treasury Wine, Constellation Brands, LithiumBank Resources, SNDL, Brandywine Realty, and Univest Pennsylvania. More

694308JU2 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 694308JU2's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess PCG 42 01 JUN 41 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

694308JU2 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 694308JU2's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 694308JU2's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 694308JU2 historical prices to predict the future 694308JU2's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
78.2379.3080.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
64.3365.4087.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
72.8173.8874.95
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
75.3581.2887.20
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 694308JU2. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 694308JU2's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 694308JU2's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in PCG 42 01.

PCG 42 01 Backtested Returns

PCG 42 01 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.12, which signifies that the bond had a -0.12% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. PCG 42 01 JUN 41 exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 694308JU2's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.5551, mean deviation of 0.6546, and Information Ratio of (0.23) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The entity shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.25, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 694308JU2 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 694308JU2 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.13  

Insignificant predictability

PCG 42 01 JUN 41 has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 694308JU2 time series from 12th of September 2024 to 27th of October 2024 and 27th of October 2024 to 11th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of PCG 42 01 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.13 indicates that less than 13.0% of current 694308JU2 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.13
Spearman Rank Test-0.1
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.2

PCG 42 01 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 694308JU2 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 694308JU2's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 694308JU2 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 694308JU2 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

694308JU2 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 694308JU2 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 694308JU2 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 694308JU2 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

694308JU2 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 694308JU2's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 694308JU2 bond have on its future price. 694308JU2 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 694308JU2 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 694308JU2 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in PCG 42 01 JUN 41.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 694308JU2 Bond

694308JU2 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 694308JU2 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 694308JU2 with respect to the benefits of owning 694308JU2 security.