PACKAGING P AMER Market Value

695156AT6   94.90  1.39  1.44%   
695156AT6's market value is the price at which a share of 695156AT6 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of PACKAGING P AMER investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of PACKAGING P AMER and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 695156AT6 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 695156AT6 Correlation, 695156AT6 Volatility and 695156AT6 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 695156AT6.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 695156AT6's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 695156AT6 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 695156AT6's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

695156AT6 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 695156AT6's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 695156AT6.
0.00
05/30/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 29 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 695156AT6 on May 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding PACKAGING P AMER or generate 0.0% return on investment in 695156AT6 over 180 days. 695156AT6 is related to or competes with LB Foster, Afya, Cumulus Media, Torm PLC, Nexstar Broadcasting, 51Talk Online, and Lindblad Expeditions. More

695156AT6 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 695156AT6's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess PACKAGING P AMER upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

695156AT6 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 695156AT6's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 695156AT6's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 695156AT6 historical prices to predict the future 695156AT6's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
94.5694.9095.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
88.5888.92104.39
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
94.6795.0195.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
94.3795.6496.91
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 695156AT6. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 695156AT6's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 695156AT6's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in PACKAGING P AMER.

PACKAGING P AMER Backtested Returns

PACKAGING P AMER retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.11, which signifies that the bond had a -0.11% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 695156AT6 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 695156AT6's information ratio of (0.39), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (1.18) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The entity owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.0333, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 695156AT6's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 695156AT6 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.82  

Excellent reverse predictability

PACKAGING P AMER has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 695156AT6 time series from 30th of May 2024 to 28th of August 2024 and 28th of August 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of PACKAGING P AMER price movement. The serial correlation of -0.82 indicates that around 82.0% of current 695156AT6 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.82
Spearman Rank Test-0.62
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.39

PACKAGING P AMER lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 695156AT6 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 695156AT6's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 695156AT6 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 695156AT6 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

695156AT6 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 695156AT6 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 695156AT6 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 695156AT6 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

695156AT6 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 695156AT6's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 695156AT6 bond have on its future price. 695156AT6 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 695156AT6 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 695156AT6 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in PACKAGING P AMER.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 695156AT6 Bond

695156AT6 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 695156AT6 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 695156AT6 with respect to the benefits of owning 695156AT6 security.