PYPL 44 01 JUN 32 Market Value

70450YAL7   89.88  7.67  7.86%   
70450YAL7's market value is the price at which a share of 70450YAL7 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of PYPL 44 01 JUN 32 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of PYPL 44 01 JUN 32 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 70450YAL7 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 70450YAL7 Correlation, 70450YAL7 Volatility and 70450YAL7 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 70450YAL7.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 70450YAL7's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 70450YAL7 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 70450YAL7's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

70450YAL7 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 70450YAL7's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 70450YAL7.
0.00
10/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 70450YAL7 on October 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding PYPL 44 01 JUN 32 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 70450YAL7 over 30 days. 70450YAL7 is related to or competes with NextNav Warrant, KVH Industries, Sphere Entertainment, Allient, National CineMedia, Supercom, and Iridium Communications. More

70450YAL7 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 70450YAL7's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess PYPL 44 01 JUN 32 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

70450YAL7 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 70450YAL7's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 70450YAL7's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 70450YAL7 historical prices to predict the future 70450YAL7's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
88.8289.8890.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
79.8380.8998.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
89.8390.8991.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
91.7296.71101.69
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 70450YAL7. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 70450YAL7's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 70450YAL7's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in PYPL 44 01.

PYPL 44 01 Backtested Returns

PYPL 44 01 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.16, which signifies that the bond had a -0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. PYPL 44 01 JUN 32 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 70450YAL7's Variance of 1.13, mean deviation of 0.4132, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.97) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.18, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 70450YAL7's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 70450YAL7 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.30  

Below average predictability

PYPL 44 01 JUN 32 has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 70450YAL7 time series from 31st of October 2024 to 15th of November 2024 and 15th of November 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of PYPL 44 01 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.3 indicates that nearly 30.0% of current 70450YAL7 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.3
Spearman Rank Test-0.11
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance4.31

PYPL 44 01 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 70450YAL7 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 70450YAL7's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 70450YAL7 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 70450YAL7 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

70450YAL7 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 70450YAL7 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 70450YAL7 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 70450YAL7 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

70450YAL7 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 70450YAL7's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 70450YAL7 bond have on its future price. 70450YAL7 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 70450YAL7 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 70450YAL7 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in PYPL 44 01 JUN 32.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in 70450YAL7 Bond

70450YAL7 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 70450YAL7 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 70450YAL7 with respect to the benefits of owning 70450YAL7 security.