Penn National Gaming Market Value

707569AS8   95.51  3.90  3.92%   
707569AS8's market value is the price at which a share of 707569AS8 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Penn National Gaming investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Penn National Gaming and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 707569AS8 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 707569AS8 Correlation, 707569AS8 Volatility and 707569AS8 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 707569AS8.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 707569AS8's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 707569AS8 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 707569AS8's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

707569AS8 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 707569AS8's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 707569AS8.
0.00
12/12/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 707569AS8 on December 12, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Penn National Gaming or generate 0.0% return on investment in 707569AS8 over 720 days. 707569AS8 is related to or competes with Kaltura, Addus HomeCare, Western Digital, Yuexiu Transport, Franklin Street, Agnico Eagle, and FARO Technologies. More

707569AS8 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 707569AS8's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Penn National Gaming upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

707569AS8 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 707569AS8's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 707569AS8's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 707569AS8 historical prices to predict the future 707569AS8's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
94.5095.5196.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
94.6695.6796.68
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
93.9594.9795.98
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
91.8196.62101.43
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 707569AS8. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 707569AS8's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 707569AS8's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Penn National Gaming.

Penn National Gaming Backtested Returns

Penn National Gaming secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.058, which signifies that the bond had a -0.058% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Penn National Gaming exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 707569AS8's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.5531, mean deviation of 0.5948, and Coefficient Of Variation of (12,954) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.038, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 707569AS8 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 707569AS8 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.1  

Very weak reverse predictability

Penn National Gaming has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 707569AS8 time series from 12th of December 2022 to 7th of December 2023 and 7th of December 2023 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Penn National Gaming price movement. The serial correlation of -0.1 indicates that less than 10.0% of current 707569AS8 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.1
Spearman Rank Test-0.01
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.49

Penn National Gaming lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 707569AS8 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 707569AS8's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 707569AS8 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 707569AS8 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

707569AS8 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 707569AS8 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 707569AS8 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 707569AS8 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

707569AS8 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 707569AS8's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 707569AS8 bond have on its future price. 707569AS8 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 707569AS8 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 707569AS8 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Penn National Gaming.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 707569AS8 Bond

707569AS8 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 707569AS8 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 707569AS8 with respect to the benefits of owning 707569AS8 security.