PKI 3625 15 MAR 51 Market Value

714046AJ8   78.90  7.93  11.17%   
714046AJ8's market value is the price at which a share of 714046AJ8 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of PKI 3625 15 MAR 51 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of PKI 3625 15 MAR 51 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 714046AJ8 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 714046AJ8 Correlation, 714046AJ8 Volatility and 714046AJ8 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 714046AJ8.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 714046AJ8's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 714046AJ8 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 714046AJ8's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

714046AJ8 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 714046AJ8's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 714046AJ8.
0.00
10/30/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 714046AJ8 on October 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding PKI 3625 15 MAR 51 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 714046AJ8 over 30 days. 714046AJ8 is related to or competes with Timken, Mannatech Incorporated, Willamette Valley, European Wax, RBC Bearings, Treasury Wine, and Constellation Brands. More

714046AJ8 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 714046AJ8's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess PKI 3625 15 MAR 51 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

714046AJ8 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 714046AJ8's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 714046AJ8's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 714046AJ8 historical prices to predict the future 714046AJ8's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
74.1678.9083.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
58.8963.6386.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
73.9778.7183.45
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
67.6673.4179.16
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 714046AJ8. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 714046AJ8's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 714046AJ8's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in PKI 3625 15.

PKI 3625 15 Backtested Returns

PKI 3625 15 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.13, which signifies that the bond had a -0.13% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. PKI 3625 15 MAR 51 exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 714046AJ8's Mean Deviation of 1.55, market risk adjusted performance of (1.40), and Standard Deviation of 2.98 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.13, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 714046AJ8 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 714046AJ8 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.51  

Modest predictability

PKI 3625 15 MAR 51 has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 714046AJ8 time series from 30th of October 2024 to 14th of November 2024 and 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of PKI 3625 15 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.51 indicates that about 51.0% of current 714046AJ8 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.51
Spearman Rank Test0.4
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance21.41

PKI 3625 15 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 714046AJ8 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 714046AJ8's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 714046AJ8 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 714046AJ8 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

714046AJ8 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 714046AJ8 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 714046AJ8 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 714046AJ8 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

714046AJ8 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 714046AJ8's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 714046AJ8 bond have on its future price. 714046AJ8 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 714046AJ8 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 714046AJ8 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in PKI 3625 15 MAR 51.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 714046AJ8 Bond

714046AJ8 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 714046AJ8 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 714046AJ8 with respect to the benefits of owning 714046AJ8 security.