US71647NBD03 Market Value
| 71647NBD0 | 94.60 4.99 5.01% |
| Symbol | 71647NBD0 |
71647NBD0 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 71647NBD0's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 71647NBD0.
| 11/01/2024 |
| 12/01/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in 71647NBD0 on November 1, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding US71647NBD03 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 71647NBD0 over 30 days. 71647NBD0 is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, Bank of America, GE Aerospace, Dupont De, International Business, and McDonalds. More
71647NBD0 Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 71647NBD0's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess US71647NBD03 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.14) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.87 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.49) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.2 |
71647NBD0 Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 71647NBD0's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 71647NBD0's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 71647NBD0 historical prices to predict the future 71647NBD0's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.03) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.04) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.34) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2277 |
US71647NBD03 Backtested Returns
US71647NBD03 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0613, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0613% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 71647NBD0 exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 71647NBD0's Coefficient Of Variation of (1,989), risk adjusted performance of (0.03), and Variance of 2.31 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.38, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 71647NBD0 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 71647NBD0 is likely to outperform the market.
Auto-correlation | 0.38 |
Below average predictability
US71647NBD03 has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 71647NBD0 time series from 1st of November 2024 to 16th of November 2024 and 16th of November 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of US71647NBD03 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.38 indicates that just about 38.0% of current 71647NBD0 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.38 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.05 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 2.24 |
US71647NBD03 lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is 71647NBD0 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 71647NBD0's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 71647NBD0 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 71647NBD0 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
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71647NBD0 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 71647NBD0 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 71647NBD0 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 71647NBD0 bond over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
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71647NBD0 Lagged Returns
When evaluating 71647NBD0's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 71647NBD0 bond have on its future price. 71647NBD0 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 71647NBD0 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 71647NBD0 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in US71647NBD03.
Regressed Prices |
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Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in 71647NBD0 Bond
71647NBD0 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 71647NBD0 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 71647NBD0 with respect to the benefits of owning 71647NBD0 security.