US74348TAV44 Market Value
| 74348TAV4 | 83.07 11.23 11.91% |
| Symbol | 74348TAV4 |
Please note, there is a significant difference between 74348TAV4's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 74348TAV4 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 74348TAV4's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
74348TAV4 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 74348TAV4's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 74348TAV4.
| 10/26/2024 |
| 11/25/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in 74348TAV4 on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding US74348TAV44 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 74348TAV4 over 30 days. 74348TAV4 is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, 3M, Alcoa Corp, ATT, Johnson Johnson, and Intel. More
74348TAV4 Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 74348TAV4's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess US74348TAV44 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.11) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 18.65 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.19) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.61 |
74348TAV4 Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 74348TAV4's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 74348TAV4's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 74348TAV4 historical prices to predict the future 74348TAV4's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.03) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.11) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.47) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.9713 |
US74348TAV44 Backtested Returns
US74348TAV44 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0759, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0759% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 74348TAV4 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 74348TAV4's Variance of 4.96, risk adjusted performance of (0.03), and Coefficient Of Variation of (1,982) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.13, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 74348TAV4 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 74348TAV4 is likely to outperform the market.
Auto-correlation | 0.57 |
Modest predictability
US74348TAV44 has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 74348TAV4 time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of US74348TAV44 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.57 indicates that roughly 57.0% of current 74348TAV4 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.57 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.16 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 16.62 |
US74348TAV44 lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is 74348TAV4 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 74348TAV4's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 74348TAV4 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 74348TAV4 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
74348TAV4 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 74348TAV4 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 74348TAV4 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 74348TAV4 bond over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
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74348TAV4 Lagged Returns
When evaluating 74348TAV4's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 74348TAV4 bond have on its future price. 74348TAV4 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 74348TAV4 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 74348TAV4 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in US74348TAV44.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in 74348TAV4 Bond
74348TAV4 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 74348TAV4 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 74348TAV4 with respect to the benefits of owning 74348TAV4 security.