Navient 5625 percent Market Value

78442FAZ1   74.06  13.48  15.40%   
Navient's market value is the price at which a share of Navient trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Navient 5625 percent investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Navient 5625 percent and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Navient over a given investment horizon.
Check out Navient Correlation, Navient Volatility and Navient Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Navient.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Navient's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Navient is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Navient's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Navient 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Navient's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Navient.
0.00
11/28/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 26 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Navient on November 28, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Navient 5625 percent or generate 0.0% return on investment in Navient over 360 days. Navient is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, Destiny Tech100, Marvell Technology, Snowflake, Alphabet, and P10. More

Navient Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Navient's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Navient 5625 percent upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Navient Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Navient's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Navient's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Navient historical prices to predict the future Navient's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
70.9774.0677.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
63.5666.6581.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
64.4567.5470.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
73.1784.4495.72
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Navient. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Navient's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Navient's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Navient 5625 percent.

Navient 5625 percent Backtested Returns

At this point, Navient is very steady. Navient 5625 percent has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0121, which conveys that the entity had a 0.0121% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-two technical indicators for Navient, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the bond. Please verify Navient's Standard Deviation of 1.62, risk adjusted performance of (0.09), and Mean Deviation of 1.03 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0374%. The bond secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.3, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Navient's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Navient is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.29  

Poor predictability

Navient 5625 percent has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Navient time series from 28th of November 2023 to 26th of May 2024 and 26th of May 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Navient 5625 percent price movement. The serial correlation of 0.29 indicates that nearly 29.0% of current Navient price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.29
Spearman Rank Test0.29
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance9.47

Navient 5625 percent lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Navient bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Navient's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Navient returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Navient has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Navient regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Navient bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Navient bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Navient bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Navient Lagged Returns

When evaluating Navient's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Navient bond have on its future price. Navient autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Navient autocorrelation shows the relationship between Navient bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Navient 5625 percent.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Navient Bond

Navient financial ratios help investors to determine whether Navient Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Navient with respect to the benefits of owning Navient security.