SIVB 41 Market Value

78486QAG6   53.94  0.00  0.00%   
78486QAG6's market value is the price at which a share of 78486QAG6 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of SIVB 41 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of SIVB 41 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 78486QAG6 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 78486QAG6 Correlation, 78486QAG6 Volatility and 78486QAG6 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 78486QAG6.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 78486QAG6's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 78486QAG6 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 78486QAG6's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

78486QAG6 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 78486QAG6's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 78486QAG6.
0.00
10/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 78486QAG6 on October 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding SIVB 41 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 78486QAG6 over 30 days. 78486QAG6 is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, 3M, Alcoa Corp, ATT, Johnson Johnson, and Intel. More

78486QAG6 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 78486QAG6's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess SIVB 41 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

78486QAG6 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 78486QAG6's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 78486QAG6's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 78486QAG6 historical prices to predict the future 78486QAG6's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.7053.945,448
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.2544.905,439
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.3768.27371.72
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-34.8826.4387.74
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 78486QAG6. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 78486QAG6's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 78486QAG6's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in 78486QAG6.

78486QAG6 Backtested Returns

78486QAG6 is out of control given 3 months investment horizon. 78486QAG6 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.37, which signifies that the bond had a 0.37% return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. We were able to analyze twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 110.87% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use 78486QAG6 risk adjusted performance of 0.2116, and Semi Deviation of 97.11 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of 11.58, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, 78486QAG6 will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.25  

Weak reverse predictability

SIVB 41 has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 78486QAG6 time series from 27th of October 2024 to 11th of November 2024 and 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of 78486QAG6 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.25 indicates that over 25.0% of current 78486QAG6 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.25
Spearman Rank Test0.4
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance829.24

78486QAG6 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 78486QAG6 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 78486QAG6's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 78486QAG6 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 78486QAG6 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

78486QAG6 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 78486QAG6 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 78486QAG6 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 78486QAG6 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

78486QAG6 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 78486QAG6's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 78486QAG6 bond have on its future price. 78486QAG6 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 78486QAG6 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 78486QAG6 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in SIVB 41.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 78486QAG6 Bond

78486QAG6 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 78486QAG6 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 78486QAG6 with respect to the benefits of owning 78486QAG6 security.