US78490FLW76 Market Value

78490FLW7   78.00  0.00  0.00%   
78490FLW7's market value is the price at which a share of 78490FLW7 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of US78490FLW76 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of US78490FLW76 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 78490FLW7 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 78490FLW7 Correlation, 78490FLW7 Volatility and 78490FLW7 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 78490FLW7.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 78490FLW7's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 78490FLW7 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 78490FLW7's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

78490FLW7 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 78490FLW7's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 78490FLW7.
0.00
10/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 78490FLW7 on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding US78490FLW76 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 78490FLW7 over 30 days. 78490FLW7 is related to or competes with Harmony Gold, Summit Materials, Zhihu, National Beverage, Tyson Foods, Highway Holdings, and Infosys. More

78490FLW7 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 78490FLW7's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess US78490FLW76 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

78490FLW7 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 78490FLW7's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 78490FLW7's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 78490FLW7 historical prices to predict the future 78490FLW7's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
73.3878.0082.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
64.0268.6485.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
69.0673.6878.29
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
76.3578.9081.45
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 78490FLW7. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 78490FLW7's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 78490FLW7's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in US78490FLW76.

US78490FLW76 Backtested Returns

US78490FLW76 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0502, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0502% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 78490FLW7 exposes nineteen different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 78490FLW7's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0025, variance of 15.05, and Coefficient Of Variation of (13,946) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.47, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 78490FLW7 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 78490FLW7 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.99  

Near perfect reversele predictability

US78490FLW76 has near perfect reversele predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 78490FLW7 time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of US78490FLW76 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.99 indicates that 99.0% of current 78490FLW7 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.99
Spearman Rank Test0.5
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance34.4

US78490FLW76 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 78490FLW7 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 78490FLW7's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 78490FLW7 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 78490FLW7 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

78490FLW7 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 78490FLW7 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 78490FLW7 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 78490FLW7 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

78490FLW7 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 78490FLW7's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 78490FLW7 bond have on its future price. 78490FLW7 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 78490FLW7 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 78490FLW7 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in US78490FLW76.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 78490FLW7 Bond

78490FLW7 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 78490FLW7 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 78490FLW7 with respect to the benefits of owning 78490FLW7 security.