Scotts Miracle Gro 525 Market Value

810186AP1   97.79  2.09  2.09%   
Scotts' market value is the price at which a share of Scotts trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Scotts Miracle Gro 525 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Scotts Miracle Gro 525 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Scotts over a given investment horizon.
Check out Scotts Correlation, Scotts Volatility and Scotts Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Scotts.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Scotts' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Scotts is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Scotts' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Scotts 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Scotts' bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Scotts.
0.00
05/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 29 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Scotts on May 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Scotts Miracle Gro 525 or generate 0.0% return on investment in Scotts over 180 days. Scotts is related to or competes with Coca Cola, JPMorgan Chase, Dupont De, Alcoa Corp, Boeing, Microsoft, and Procter Gamble. More

Scotts Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Scotts' bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Scotts Miracle Gro 525 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Scotts Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Scotts' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Scotts' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Scotts historical prices to predict the future Scotts' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
97.2097.7998.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
96.9797.5698.15
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
96.9197.5198.10
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
95.6498.81101.98
Details

Scotts Miracle Gro Backtested Returns

Scotts Miracle Gro owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0316, which indicates the bond had a -0.0316% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Scotts Miracle Gro 525 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Scotts' Variance of 1.56, coefficient of variation of (4,565), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.3, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Scotts' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Scotts is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.14  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Scotts Miracle Gro 525 has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Scotts time series from 27th of May 2024 to 25th of August 2024 and 25th of August 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Scotts Miracle Gro price movement. The serial correlation of -0.14 indicates that less than 14.0% of current Scotts price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.14
Spearman Rank Test0.2
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.23

Scotts Miracle Gro lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Scotts bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Scotts' bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Scotts returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Scotts has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Scotts regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Scotts bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Scotts bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Scotts bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Scotts Lagged Returns

When evaluating Scotts' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Scotts bond have on its future price. Scotts autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Scotts autocorrelation shows the relationship between Scotts bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Scotts Miracle Gro 525.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Scotts Bond

Scotts financial ratios help investors to determine whether Scotts Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Scotts with respect to the benefits of owning Scotts security.