ST 5875 01 SEP 30 Market Value

81725WAL7   98.56  0.32  0.32%   
81725WAL7's market value is the price at which a share of 81725WAL7 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of ST 5875 01 SEP 30 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of ST 5875 01 SEP 30 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 81725WAL7 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 81725WAL7 Correlation, 81725WAL7 Volatility and 81725WAL7 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 81725WAL7.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 81725WAL7's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 81725WAL7 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 81725WAL7's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

81725WAL7 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 81725WAL7's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 81725WAL7.
0.00
10/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 81725WAL7 on October 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ST 5875 01 SEP 30 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 81725WAL7 over 30 days. 81725WAL7 is related to or competes with Kite Realty, QBE Insurance, Pekin Life, Maiden Holdings, Freedom Holding, Employers Holdings, and Alchemy Investments. More

81725WAL7 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 81725WAL7's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ST 5875 01 SEP 30 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

81725WAL7 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 81725WAL7's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 81725WAL7's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 81725WAL7 historical prices to predict the future 81725WAL7's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
98.2898.5698.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
98.2298.5098.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
98.4598.7499.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
96.5998.41100.23
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 81725WAL7. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 81725WAL7's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 81725WAL7's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ST 5875 01.

ST 5875 01 Backtested Returns

ST 5875 01 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0885, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0885% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 81725WAL7 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 81725WAL7's Variance of 0.2961, coefficient of variation of (6,282), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.0972, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 81725WAL7's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 81725WAL7 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.03  

Very weak reverse predictability

ST 5875 01 SEP 30 has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 81725WAL7 time series from 27th of October 2024 to 11th of November 2024 and 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ST 5875 01 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.03 indicates that only 3.0% of current 81725WAL7 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.03
Spearman Rank Test-0.2
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.06

ST 5875 01 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 81725WAL7 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 81725WAL7's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 81725WAL7 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 81725WAL7 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

81725WAL7 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 81725WAL7 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 81725WAL7 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 81725WAL7 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

81725WAL7 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 81725WAL7's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 81725WAL7 bond have on its future price. 81725WAL7 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 81725WAL7 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 81725WAL7 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in ST 5875 01 SEP 30.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 81725WAL7 Bond

81725WAL7 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 81725WAL7 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 81725WAL7 with respect to the benefits of owning 81725WAL7 security.