SOCGEN 6446 10 JAN 29 Market Value

83368RBR2   99.34  3.66  3.55%   
SOCGEN's market value is the price at which a share of SOCGEN trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of SOCGEN 6446 10 JAN 29 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of SOCGEN 6446 10 JAN 29 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in SOCGEN over a given investment horizon.
Check out SOCGEN Correlation, SOCGEN Volatility and SOCGEN Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on SOCGEN.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between SOCGEN's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SOCGEN is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SOCGEN's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

SOCGEN 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to SOCGEN's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of SOCGEN.
0.00
05/30/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 29 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in SOCGEN on May 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding SOCGEN 6446 10 JAN 29 or generate 0.0% return on investment in SOCGEN over 180 days. SOCGEN is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, 3M, Alcoa Corp, ATT, Johnson Johnson, and Intel. More

SOCGEN Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure SOCGEN's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess SOCGEN 6446 10 JAN 29 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

SOCGEN Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for SOCGEN's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as SOCGEN's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use SOCGEN historical prices to predict the future SOCGEN's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
98.7399.3499.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
87.0187.62109.27
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
98.8199.42100.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
99.56102.50105.45
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SOCGEN. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SOCGEN's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SOCGEN's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SOCGEN 6446 10.

SOCGEN 6446 10 Backtested Returns

At this point, SOCGEN is very steady. SOCGEN 6446 10 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0162, which indicates the bond had a 0.0162% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-two technical indicators for SOCGEN, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the bond. Please validate SOCGEN's standard deviation of 0.527, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06) to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0166%. The entity owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.11, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning SOCGEN are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, SOCGEN is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.66  

Very good reverse predictability

SOCGEN 6446 10 JAN 29 has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between SOCGEN time series from 30th of May 2024 to 28th of August 2024 and 28th of August 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of SOCGEN 6446 10 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.66 indicates that around 66.0% of current SOCGEN price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.66
Spearman Rank Test-0.56
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.89

SOCGEN 6446 10 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is SOCGEN bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting SOCGEN's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of SOCGEN returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that SOCGEN has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

SOCGEN regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If SOCGEN bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if SOCGEN bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in SOCGEN bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

SOCGEN Lagged Returns

When evaluating SOCGEN's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of SOCGEN bond have on its future price. SOCGEN autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, SOCGEN autocorrelation shows the relationship between SOCGEN bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in SOCGEN 6446 10 JAN 29.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in SOCGEN Bond

SOCGEN financial ratios help investors to determine whether SOCGEN Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SOCGEN with respect to the benefits of owning SOCGEN security.