SOUTHERN CALIF EDISON Market Value

842400GK3   81.85  0.99  1.20%   
SOUTHERN's market value is the price at which a share of SOUTHERN trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of SOUTHERN CALIF EDISON investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of SOUTHERN CALIF EDISON and determine expected loss or profit from investing in SOUTHERN over a given investment horizon.
Check out SOUTHERN Correlation, SOUTHERN Volatility and SOUTHERN Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on SOUTHERN.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between SOUTHERN's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SOUTHERN is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SOUTHERN's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

SOUTHERN 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to SOUTHERN's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of SOUTHERN.
0.00
05/06/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 6 months and 30 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in SOUTHERN on May 6, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding SOUTHERN CALIF EDISON or generate 0.0% return on investment in SOUTHERN over 210 days. SOUTHERN is related to or competes with Palomar Holdings, Aldel Financial, MGIC Investment, Supercom, Enersys, and Pekin Life. More

SOUTHERN Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure SOUTHERN's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess SOUTHERN CALIF EDISON upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

SOUTHERN Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for SOUTHERN's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as SOUTHERN's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use SOUTHERN historical prices to predict the future SOUTHERN's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
80.8381.8582.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
81.4782.4983.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
81.1982.2183.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
78.9381.7384.54
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SOUTHERN. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SOUTHERN's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SOUTHERN's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SOUTHERN CALIF EDISON.

SOUTHERN CALIF EDISON Backtested Returns

SOUTHERN CALIF EDISON owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0203, which indicates the bond had a -0.0203% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. SOUTHERN CALIF EDISON exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate SOUTHERN's variance of 0.9467, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.13, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, SOUTHERN's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding SOUTHERN is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.45  

Modest reverse predictability

SOUTHERN CALIF EDISON has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between SOUTHERN time series from 6th of May 2024 to 19th of August 2024 and 19th of August 2024 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of SOUTHERN CALIF EDISON price movement. The serial correlation of -0.45 indicates that just about 45.0% of current SOUTHERN price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.45
Spearman Rank Test-0.41
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.34

SOUTHERN CALIF EDISON lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is SOUTHERN bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting SOUTHERN's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of SOUTHERN returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that SOUTHERN has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

SOUTHERN regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If SOUTHERN bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if SOUTHERN bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in SOUTHERN bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

SOUTHERN Lagged Returns

When evaluating SOUTHERN's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of SOUTHERN bond have on its future price. SOUTHERN autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, SOUTHERN autocorrelation shows the relationship between SOUTHERN bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in SOUTHERN CALIF EDISON.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in SOUTHERN Bond

SOUTHERN financial ratios help investors to determine whether SOUTHERN Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SOUTHERN with respect to the benefits of owning SOUTHERN security.