US860630AG72 Market Value

860630AG7   87.13  8.39  8.78%   
860630AG7's market value is the price at which a share of 860630AG7 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of US860630AG72 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of US860630AG72 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 860630AG7 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 860630AG7 Correlation, 860630AG7 Volatility and 860630AG7 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 860630AG7.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 860630AG7's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 860630AG7 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 860630AG7's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

860630AG7 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 860630AG7's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 860630AG7.
0.00
09/02/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 860630AG7 on September 2, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding US860630AG72 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 860630AG7 over 90 days. 860630AG7 is related to or competes with ATT, Home Depot, Cisco Systems, Dupont De, GE Aerospace, Johnson Johnson, and Intel. More

860630AG7 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 860630AG7's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess US860630AG72 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

860630AG7 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 860630AG7's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 860630AG7's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 860630AG7 historical prices to predict the future 860630AG7's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
85.7387.1388.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
74.1675.5695.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
83.8485.2486.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
84.0690.4096.75
Details

US860630AG72 Backtested Returns

US860630AG72 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.12, which signifies that the bond had a -0.12% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 860630AG7 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 860630AG7's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06), variance of 2.37, and Coefficient Of Variation of (1,155) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.0459, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 860630AG7 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 860630AG7 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.21  

Weak predictability

US860630AG72 has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 860630AG7 time series from 2nd of September 2024 to 17th of October 2024 and 17th of October 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of US860630AG72 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.21 indicates that over 21.0% of current 860630AG7 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.21
Spearman Rank Test0.26
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.84

US860630AG72 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 860630AG7 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 860630AG7's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 860630AG7 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 860630AG7 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

860630AG7 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 860630AG7 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 860630AG7 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 860630AG7 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

860630AG7 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 860630AG7's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 860630AG7 bond have on its future price. 860630AG7 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 860630AG7 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 860630AG7 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in US860630AG72.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 860630AG7 Bond

860630AG7 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 860630AG7 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 860630AG7 with respect to the benefits of owning 860630AG7 security.