TELEFONICA EMISIONES S Market Value

87938WAT0   95.89  2.56  2.60%   
TELEFONICA's market value is the price at which a share of TELEFONICA trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of TELEFONICA EMISIONES S investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of TELEFONICA EMISIONES S and determine expected loss or profit from investing in TELEFONICA over a given investment horizon.
Check out TELEFONICA Correlation, TELEFONICA Volatility and TELEFONICA Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on TELEFONICA.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between TELEFONICA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TELEFONICA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TELEFONICA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

TELEFONICA 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to TELEFONICA's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of TELEFONICA.
0.00
10/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in TELEFONICA on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding TELEFONICA EMISIONES S or generate 0.0% return on investment in TELEFONICA over 30 days. TELEFONICA is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, Destiny Tech100, Snowflake, Charles Schwab, Granite Construction, and P10. More

TELEFONICA Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure TELEFONICA's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess TELEFONICA EMISIONES S upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

TELEFONICA Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for TELEFONICA's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as TELEFONICA's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use TELEFONICA historical prices to predict the future TELEFONICA's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
94.8795.8996.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
82.8583.87105.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
93.8394.8495.86
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
95.6697.8199.96
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as TELEFONICA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against TELEFONICA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, TELEFONICA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in TELEFONICA EMISIONES.

TELEFONICA EMISIONES Backtested Returns

TELEFONICA EMISIONES owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0284, which indicates the bond had a -0.0284% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. TELEFONICA EMISIONES S exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate TELEFONICA's risk adjusted performance of (0.03), and Variance of 0.8451 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of -0.14, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning TELEFONICA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, TELEFONICA is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.03  

Very weak reverse predictability

TELEFONICA EMISIONES S has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between TELEFONICA time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of TELEFONICA EMISIONES price movement. The serial correlation of -0.03 indicates that only 3.0% of current TELEFONICA price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.03
Spearman Rank Test0.68
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.78

TELEFONICA EMISIONES lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is TELEFONICA bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting TELEFONICA's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of TELEFONICA returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that TELEFONICA has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

TELEFONICA regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If TELEFONICA bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if TELEFONICA bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in TELEFONICA bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

TELEFONICA Lagged Returns

When evaluating TELEFONICA's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of TELEFONICA bond have on its future price. TELEFONICA autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, TELEFONICA autocorrelation shows the relationship between TELEFONICA bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in TELEFONICA EMISIONES S.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in TELEFONICA Bond

TELEFONICA financial ratios help investors to determine whether TELEFONICA Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TELEFONICA with respect to the benefits of owning TELEFONICA security.