TFC 6123 28 OCT 33 Market Value

89788MAK8   99.20  6.34  6.01%   
89788MAK8's market value is the price at which a share of 89788MAK8 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of TFC 6123 28 OCT 33 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of TFC 6123 28 OCT 33 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 89788MAK8 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 89788MAK8 Correlation, 89788MAK8 Volatility and 89788MAK8 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 89788MAK8.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 89788MAK8's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 89788MAK8 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 89788MAK8's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

89788MAK8 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 89788MAK8's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 89788MAK8.
0.00
06/08/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 5 months and 25 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 89788MAK8 on June 8, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding TFC 6123 28 OCT 33 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 89788MAK8 over 540 days. 89788MAK8 is related to or competes with ATT, Home Depot, Cisco Systems, Dupont De, GE Aerospace, Johnson Johnson, and Intel. More

89788MAK8 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 89788MAK8's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess TFC 6123 28 OCT 33 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

89788MAK8 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 89788MAK8's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 89788MAK8's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 89788MAK8 historical prices to predict the future 89788MAK8's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
98.3099.20100.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
94.3395.23109.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
99.17100.07100.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
100.33104.02107.71
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 89788MAK8. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 89788MAK8's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 89788MAK8's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in TFC 6123 28.

TFC 6123 28 Backtested Returns

TFC 6123 28 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.14, which signifies that the bond had a -0.14% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 89788MAK8 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 89788MAK8's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01), variance of 1.13, and Coefficient Of Variation of (7,523) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.0738, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 89788MAK8's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 89788MAK8 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.29  

Poor predictability

TFC 6123 28 OCT 33 has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 89788MAK8 time series from 8th of June 2023 to 4th of March 2024 and 4th of March 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of TFC 6123 28 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.29 indicates that nearly 29.0% of current 89788MAK8 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.29
Spearman Rank Test0.24
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance5.54

TFC 6123 28 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 89788MAK8 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 89788MAK8's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 89788MAK8 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 89788MAK8 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

89788MAK8 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 89788MAK8 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 89788MAK8 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 89788MAK8 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

89788MAK8 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 89788MAK8's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 89788MAK8 bond have on its future price. 89788MAK8 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 89788MAK8 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 89788MAK8 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in TFC 6123 28 OCT 33.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in 89788MAK8 Bond

89788MAK8 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 89788MAK8 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 89788MAK8 with respect to the benefits of owning 89788MAK8 security.