UNION PAC P Market Value

907818ER5   76.18  2.78  3.52%   
UNION's market value is the price at which a share of UNION trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of UNION PAC P investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of UNION PAC P and determine expected loss or profit from investing in UNION over a given investment horizon.
Check out UNION Correlation, UNION Volatility and UNION Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on UNION.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between UNION's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if UNION is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, UNION's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

UNION 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to UNION's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of UNION.
0.00
12/12/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in UNION on December 12, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding UNION PAC P or generate 0.0% return on investment in UNION over 720 days. UNION is related to or competes with Haverty Furniture, 51Talk Online, MI Homes, Udemy, Bassett Furniture, Ihuman, and Afya. More

UNION Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure UNION's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess UNION PAC P upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

UNION Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for UNION's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as UNION's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use UNION historical prices to predict the future UNION's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
73.8776.1878.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
75.2077.5179.82
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
77.5379.8482.15
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
73.1776.5279.88
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as UNION. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against UNION's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, UNION's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in UNION PAC P.

UNION PAC P Backtested Returns

UNION PAC P owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0726, which indicates the bond had a -0.0726% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. UNION PAC P exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate UNION's risk adjusted performance of 0.0026, and Variance of 3.02 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.35, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, UNION's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding UNION is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.08  

Very weak reverse predictability

UNION PAC P has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between UNION time series from 12th of December 2022 to 7th of December 2023 and 7th of December 2023 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of UNION PAC P price movement. The serial correlation of -0.08 indicates that barely 8.0% of current UNION price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.08
Spearman Rank Test0.04
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance6.7

UNION PAC P lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is UNION bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting UNION's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of UNION returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that UNION has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

UNION regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If UNION bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if UNION bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in UNION bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

UNION Lagged Returns

When evaluating UNION's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of UNION bond have on its future price. UNION autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, UNION autocorrelation shows the relationship between UNION bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in UNION PAC P.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in UNION Bond

UNION financial ratios help investors to determine whether UNION Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in UNION with respect to the benefits of owning UNION security.