United Airlines Holdings Market Value

910047AK5   99.61  0.29  0.29%   
United's market value is the price at which a share of United trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of United Airlines Holdings investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of United Airlines Holdings and determine expected loss or profit from investing in United over a given investment horizon.
Check out United Correlation, United Volatility and United Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on United.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between United's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if United is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, United's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

United 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to United's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of United.
0.00
05/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in United on May 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding United Airlines Holdings or generate 0.0% return on investment in United over 180 days. United is related to or competes with Getty Images, Rumble, Black Hills, GE Vernova, Vistra Energy, and Cadence Design. More

United Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure United's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess United Airlines Holdings upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

United Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for United's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as United's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use United historical prices to predict the future United's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
96.7397.1597.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
87.4497.6798.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
96.2596.6797.09
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
96.6198.90101.18
Details

United Airlines Holdings Backtested Returns

United Airlines Holdings owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.097, which indicates the bond had a -0.097% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. United Airlines Holdings exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate United's Coefficient Of Variation of (1,912), risk adjusted performance of (0.04), and Variance of 0.4353 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of -0.07, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning United are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, United is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.05  

Very weak reverse predictability

United Airlines Holdings has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between United time series from 31st of May 2024 to 29th of August 2024 and 29th of August 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of United Airlines Holdings price movement. The serial correlation of -0.05 indicates that only as little as 5.0% of current United price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.05
Spearman Rank Test0.29
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.04

United Airlines Holdings lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is United bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting United's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of United returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that United has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

United regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If United bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if United bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in United bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

United Lagged Returns

When evaluating United's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of United bond have on its future price. United autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, United autocorrelation shows the relationship between United bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in United Airlines Holdings.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in United Bond

United financial ratios help investors to determine whether United Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in United with respect to the benefits of owning United security.