U S BANCORP Market Value

91159HHM5   93.67  4.25  4.34%   
91159HHM5's market value is the price at which a share of 91159HHM5 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of U S BANCORP investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of U S BANCORP and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 91159HHM5 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 91159HHM5 Correlation, 91159HHM5 Volatility and 91159HHM5 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 91159HHM5.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 91159HHM5's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 91159HHM5 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 91159HHM5's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

91159HHM5 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 91159HHM5's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 91159HHM5.
0.00
10/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 91159HHM5 on October 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding U S BANCORP or generate 0.0% return on investment in 91159HHM5 over 30 days. 91159HHM5 is related to or competes with Old Dominion, Mesa Air, Saia, United Airlines, Hafnia, Nexstar Broadcasting, and Lindblad Expeditions. More

91159HHM5 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 91159HHM5's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess U S BANCORP upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

91159HHM5 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 91159HHM5's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 91159HHM5's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 91159HHM5 historical prices to predict the future 91159HHM5's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
93.0893.6794.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
90.0190.60103.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
92.5993.1893.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
91.4594.2296.99
Details

U S BANCORP Backtested Returns

U S BANCORP secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.11, which signifies that the bond had a -0.11% return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. U S BANCORP exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 91159HHM5's coefficient of variation of (1,361), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The entity shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0068, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 91159HHM5's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 91159HHM5 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.25  

Weak reverse predictability

U S BANCORP has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 91159HHM5 time series from 31st of October 2024 to 15th of November 2024 and 15th of November 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of U S BANCORP price movement. The serial correlation of -0.25 indicates that over 25.0% of current 91159HHM5 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.25
Spearman Rank Test0.09
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.6

U S BANCORP lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 91159HHM5 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 91159HHM5's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 91159HHM5 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 91159HHM5 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

91159HHM5 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 91159HHM5 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 91159HHM5 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 91159HHM5 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

91159HHM5 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 91159HHM5's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 91159HHM5 bond have on its future price. 91159HHM5 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 91159HHM5 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 91159HHM5 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in U S BANCORP.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 91159HHM5 Bond

91159HHM5 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 91159HHM5 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 91159HHM5 with respect to the benefits of owning 91159HHM5 security.