US BANCORP MTN Market Value
91159HHZ6 | 99.13 0.02 0.02% |
Symbol | 91159HHZ6 |
91159HHZ6 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 91159HHZ6's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 91159HHZ6.
12/31/2024 |
| 01/30/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in 91159HHZ6 on December 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding US BANCORP MTN or generate 0.0% return on investment in 91159HHZ6 over 30 days. 91159HHZ6 is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, Better Choice, Montana Technologies, Innovation Beverage, Delta Air, and BlackRock. More
91159HHZ6 Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 91159HHZ6's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess US BANCORP MTN upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Information Ratio | (0.08) | |||
Maximum Drawdown | 9.71 | |||
Value At Risk | (3.19) | |||
Potential Upside | 2.16 |
91159HHZ6 Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 91159HHZ6's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 91159HHZ6's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 91159HHZ6 historical prices to predict the future 91159HHZ6's volatility.Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.01) | |||
Jensen Alpha | (0.07) | |||
Total Risk Alpha | (0.21) | |||
Treynor Ratio | (0.16) |
US BANCORP MTN Backtested Returns
At this point, 91159HHZ6 is very steady. US BANCORP MTN retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0178, which signifies that the bond had a 0.0178 % return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for 91159HHZ6, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm 91159HHZ6's Variance of 2.51, coefficient of variation of (4,909), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01) to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0188%. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.27, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 91159HHZ6's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 91159HHZ6 is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | 0.55 |
Modest predictability
US BANCORP MTN has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 91159HHZ6 time series from 31st of December 2024 to 15th of January 2025 and 15th of January 2025 to 30th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of US BANCORP MTN price movement. The serial correlation of 0.55 indicates that about 55.0% of current 91159HHZ6 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient | 0.55 | |
Spearman Rank Test | 0.65 | |
Residual Average | 0.0 | |
Price Variance | 0.0 |
US BANCORP MTN lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is 91159HHZ6 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 91159HHZ6's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 91159HHZ6 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 91159HHZ6 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
Timeline |
91159HHZ6 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 91159HHZ6 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 91159HHZ6 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 91159HHZ6 bond over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
Timeline |
91159HHZ6 Lagged Returns
When evaluating 91159HHZ6's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 91159HHZ6 bond have on its future price. 91159HHZ6 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 91159HHZ6 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 91159HHZ6 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in US BANCORP MTN.
Regressed Prices |
Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in 91159HHZ6 Bond
91159HHZ6 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 91159HHZ6 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 91159HHZ6 with respect to the benefits of owning 91159HHZ6 security.