CHTR 425 01 FEB 31 Market Value

U12501BH1   87.98  0.18  0.21%   
U12501BH1's market value is the price at which a share of U12501BH1 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of CHTR 425 01 FEB 31 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of CHTR 425 01 FEB 31 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in U12501BH1 over a given investment horizon.
Check out U12501BH1 Correlation, U12501BH1 Volatility and U12501BH1 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on U12501BH1.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between U12501BH1's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if U12501BH1 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, U12501BH1's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

U12501BH1 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to U12501BH1's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of U12501BH1.
0.00
12/06/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in U12501BH1 on December 6, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding CHTR 425 01 FEB 31 or generate 0.0% return on investment in U12501BH1 over 720 days. U12501BH1 is related to or competes with Nike, Microbot Medical, United Parks, Academy Sports, Mativ Holdings, JD Sports, and Sonos. More

U12501BH1 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure U12501BH1's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess CHTR 425 01 FEB 31 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

U12501BH1 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for U12501BH1's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as U12501BH1's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use U12501BH1 historical prices to predict the future U12501BH1's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
87.1887.9888.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
71.0471.8496.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
85.3386.1386.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
86.5287.7588.99
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as U12501BH1. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against U12501BH1's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, U12501BH1's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CHTR 425 01.

CHTR 425 01 Backtested Returns

At this point, U12501BH1 is very steady. CHTR 425 01 owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0979, which indicates the bond had a 0.0979% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for CHTR 425 01 FEB 31, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the bond. Please validate U12501BH1's Downside Deviation of 2.39, market risk adjusted performance of (0.48), and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0633 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0787%. The entity has a beta of -0.31, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning U12501BH1 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, U12501BH1 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.37  

Below average predictability

CHTR 425 01 FEB 31 has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between U12501BH1 time series from 6th of December 2022 to 1st of December 2023 and 1st of December 2023 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of CHTR 425 01 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.37 indicates that just about 37.0% of current U12501BH1 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.37
Spearman Rank Test0.23
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance5.68

CHTR 425 01 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is U12501BH1 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting U12501BH1's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of U12501BH1 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that U12501BH1 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

U12501BH1 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If U12501BH1 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if U12501BH1 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in U12501BH1 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

U12501BH1 Lagged Returns

When evaluating U12501BH1's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of U12501BH1 bond have on its future price. U12501BH1 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, U12501BH1 autocorrelation shows the relationship between U12501BH1 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in CHTR 425 01 FEB 31.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in U12501BH1 Bond

U12501BH1 financial ratios help investors to determine whether U12501BH1 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in U12501BH1 with respect to the benefits of owning U12501BH1 security.